LP08

ICON at 12z looks awfully similar to where we started for this weekends storm. Gets the southern part of the forum pretty good.

If it ain’t on the Ai, I ain’t gunna buy.

Maybe the ICON will save us.

Was really hoping for some wild ass mid 2010’s NAM run too

Looks awfully similar to a storm that should not be named from Dec 2010…

I think the positive was the backside sw coming in like the rgem showed at the end of its run. Trying to phase instead of “kick”

Damn, Raliegh has been 20+ on Kuchera since 6z yesterday.

Weenie me all you want and hopefully someone smarter will tell me I'm wrong, but i'd argue, at the end of the RGEM run that NS wave coming in out west is coming at an advantageous angle to maybe not kick but to actually help.

I like the trough orientation better than 6z with less press out front.

Lets try and get the H5 cutoff from diving into the extreme SE and keep it moving across NC at least. I would feel more confident then. Lots of vorts flying around through Canada helping supress that feature on various models.

H5 over Atlanta is tough to get us up here.

AIgfs dives the H5 low too far south then shunts it east. Better and more west early on in the run

AIgfs with similar positive changes…

Ridge out west is also a tick west with better amplitude

Starting to wrap up in western TN is pretty close to good