Do you know their resolution compared to the OPs? Everything looks “smoother” and since this is such a delicate balance of wave interactions, I do wonder if that’s why they are west comparatively.
I’m just hoping to get some real qpf with this upcoming pattern. I hope this period doesn’t result to the same 75 mile wide “win zone” of 0.2” of precip fluctuating each run we have been dealing with the past few years.
The base of the trough is so much further west than all other guidance at 78. Toggle compare the runs. https://beta.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/500hv/conus?run=2026011512&forecastHour=75