weatherwiz

My guess is some of the west coast states (WA/OR...perhaps CA and ID) average less. (After this post I'll do a quick google check...I'm sure there is a map out there lol). ME does average around 2 tornadoes per year though...my guess is that could be slightly higher but they can get some mean looking supercells in the deep summer months...far enough south to tap into the warmer/humid air and just far enough north to usually get better jet support or steeper lapse rates

ME is also rather underrated for severe wx...especially northern ME. Unfortunately too many trees and not enough people but they can get some nasty looking supercells.

That is a great idea! Hopefully I can get some time put aside soon so I can get back to this. I wish they taught Python at school but it was MATLAB and it wasn't really taught lol. Heck, even the intro programming (or whatever it was called) wasn't really taught. The class was just looking at Powerpoints lol.

I was doing pretty well with Python last summer...then the fall came and I got super swamped. I forget what I was using...was either Jupyter or Conda. But I was having fun with all the mapping packages/data packages. mpl_toolkits, cartopy (this was BRUTAL to get to work...absolutely BRUTAL...took me weeks and dozens and dozens of hours), matplotlib, numpy, etc. I really need to get back into it...only issue is time to devote. Like I need to devote at least several hours a day to it so I can not only understand it but grasp it. Do you know of any oneline python courses that are strictly designed for meteorology? I would certainly pay for those.

Thanks! I gotta get back into learning python...that would be sick to do. Would it be possible to extract daily observations by station and date into an Excel file?

cool...Anchorage had a t'storm yesterday. I can't even get one

Holding onto hope this look stays. It's been consistent for several days now. I'm torn between Monday and Tuesday though...I think the overall best s/w and upper-level support is Tuesday but Monday's looks is very good...perhaps we're still close enough to the main s/w that we can cash in.

Severe outbreak up north for @OceanStWx Tuesday? Could see severe here too Monday!!! WE'RE GETTING ACTIVE BABY!!!!!

Is there another source to look at Daily Climate Reports? This whole crap with some NWS products not working is beyond ridiculous now...especially SPC outlooks...not populating for like 45 minutes past time

sweet thanks. I wonder if it's worth subscribing to weather.us rather than weathermodels

are there any euro products for lapse rates?

I haven't used that site in a while. Kinda forgot about it actually. Need to play around with it again but i find it confusing to figure out lol

Good...I prefer to stay within the 585-591dm height range. This is a pretty solid look for some ridge roller MCS activity. Also a really good look for some nasty squall lines. Obviously there are numerous details that would have to be ironed out but if you're looking at some severe shots, synoptically this offers some positive vibes. I would hope this could flag some potential for EML advection but would love to see more of what the H7 configuration looks like. It seemed like some EML shots want to eject our way but they become quite muted pretty quickly as they traverse into the upper-Midwest.

ahhh not far from where my girlfriend lives then

are you closer to the Danbury side of Newtown or on the other end?

the Gulf Stream is the Viagra of streams

Next Monday and Tuesday look interesting. Tuesday could be more up north but Monday could be big if we can get that plume of steeper lapse rates to stay intact.

Nice batch of stuff headed into SW CT. Hoping it moves through Branford after.

Going to be some real nasty storms up north today. Bulk shear even increases a bit down this way a little later on so we may see a few nasty ones too.

indeed

A/C is STUPID. Unless you have a job working outside it's the most ridiculous and outrageous thing ever. Sitting inside and it's FREEZING. I went outside...it's so warm and humid...it feels great. A/C literally is nothing a summer killer. "awwww I got a little sweat trickling down my backside, excuse me while I run in front of the A/C"

That's some pretty strong agreement on the evolution of the pattern moving forward. It's going to get pretty damn hot/humid...but that doesn't necessarily mean we can't or won't see a day or two of relief. Regardless, after what's been a brutal summer in the convective department that pattern screams severe wx potential from the Ohio Valley into even our region. If you're going to get a derecho that's the type of pattern that will do it. Depending on how exactly this evolves perhaps we can sneak a few EML shots our way. I do like how that 700 ridge is building though I think I'd like to see a bit more of a trough digging into the west (just to really eject EML air and have it ride along the ridge).

Now that’s a true warning.

If we can get enough heating it could sure be intriguing

Referring more to PM convection Saturday and Sunday...could see a few isolated severe storms both afternoons