weatherwiz

You would think we are headed towards a stronger Nina episode based on how everything has transitioned the past few weeks. I kinda hate looking so closely at SSTA's this early and putting a significant amount of thought into them (outside of the Nino region) but it's kinda hard to ignore the striking configuration...but I guess with climate change such a look is just going to become the norm. In the PAC, outside of the ENSO region it's pretty much bath water...especially the NPAC from East Asia to the western North American coast. The PDO has become quite negative as well (perhaps also influencing the rapidly developing Nina?). Obviously the NPAC (more specifically the Gulf of Alaska) is prone to changes and we could see these anomalies cool some as we we into the cool season. But as long as the anomalies remain this impressive you would think this will result in strong latent heat release which could keep ridging established in this region...of course which may not be a bad thing for us. The Atlantic too (especially off the East coast) is extremely warmer than average (thanks in part to the lack of cold fronts and established ridging). Even off the coast of Greenland it's super warm. This could perhaps leads to one of two things; 1) Keeps NATL ridging established well into the winter with ridging extending to the East 2) Enhance the probability for a negative NAO/AO If we are able to establish a ridge into the West hopefully we can be sandwiched between the two ridges...and then it's just a matter of where the trough axis can become established. I think there is quite a bit of potential in this upcoming winter. In terms of ENSO, we should continue to see quite a bit of cooling in the ENSO regions...quite a bit of easterly wind bursts and a pretty significant one forecast too right around the dateline:

Ahh I'm not far from there at all. Looks like it's right off Mill Plain. That's the road I use to/from Branford-North Branford then to 91 in Wallingford.

Awesome thanks! I won't be able to today but I will do so on Tuesday!

Where about's is that? I actually don't know Branford quite well lol. I basically just know the road from about exit 54 to exit 55.

Down in Branford for the firs time since last Thursday...wow. I usually get off exit 14 on 91 and go back roads from Wallingford through North Branford then into Branford and holy crap...literally every single house I passed had piles of cut up trees, limbs, branches on the curb. The Dunkin Donuts I go to had a huge clearing of trees in the back too. Even the trees not taken down the damage to them is evident...tops severely damaged or even some trees with a good amount of leaves ripped off.

yeah Euro is going nuts lol. I wonder what algorithms are used for those charts though...seems like the Euro charts across many locations are wacky...especially temperatures and snowfall. There are some west locations it goes nuts...even with Anchorage it goes nuts. During the heat wave in Oakland a few weeks back I think the Euro charts were spitting out 60's for Oakland while they were in the 90's.

Talk about some wild pattern swings in the west...70's, 80's, and 90's across parts of MT, WY, and CO through Monday then some areas could get snow then back into heat a few days later. ahh the good ole Inter-mountain West

man...I'm loving how this thread has kicked off. This is some excellent discussion/information. See what happens when y'all can be nice and civil

Part of me wishes I had stayed at work that day but I don't totally regret it b/c what I saw in Waterbury with the winds was awesome. And where the tornado had first touched down was about 11-miles away or so. That was an incredible radar presentation too. I'm a little shocked though the damage was classified as several microbusts...could have been classified as at least a macroburst and I thought that looked like mainly RFD winds down that way.

met summer is over I cringe to think that within...well probably now gotta start carrying a sweatshirt around or at least have one on when leaving in the morning.

Video taken from my job

I haven’t even looked at Saturday yet lol

Damn I should have e just stayed in Branford...but then I would have been screwed getting home lol. But I had fun in Waterbury. Had a little hail and the strong winds

Here are a few stills I took of this helps any

I like open fields for shelf cloud pics and to see storm structure...but I usually also try to go where there are trees around (just not too close)

I legit got there maybe a minute before that happened. I even broke my camcorder in the process of setting it up. Had I gotten there earlier I could have been under a overhang at the mall entrance

https://youtu.be/vCGHJ-i0xN8

I should have stayed at work

Job in Branford hit hard. Trees down all over (from what I’m told), power lines ripped from building, transformers across street on fire

Possible TDS?

Felt like it. Was a crazy sudden switch of direction with winds...couldn’t see a single thing

I think rotation passed overhead holy shit

Holy shit!!!!!