weatherwiz

Maybe we can get another cold pool summer like 2008

GFS pattern ugly for big severe virtually anywhere moving forward. Guess it's a good thing I can't go to OK lol

a batch of some heavy rain isn't far away from us

I was going to start a thread for this earlier in the week but never got to it. Was thinking there could be some small hail/gusty winds in stronger storms.

Agreed

My former professor would yell at you for that.

ehhh I would hedge on the caution of that. We are under the influence of an upper-level trough for much of the weak so with any heating we'll likely see clouds develop in the afternoon. There should also be at least a few days with scattered showers around given the fast/active flow.

SEVERE WEATHER SEASON IS HERE!!!!!! Welcome to May 1!!!!!!!!!! A HUGE milestone

Getting there!

Not the start to May I was hoping for. Just praying and hoping that as the pattern does change we'll see a solid severe threat with it.

well Kevin's been leafed out since January

hardly

Ridiculous...may as well cancel summer and severe wx season. fooking awful

brutal

yeah with that ridge becoming as dominant as it is out west and continued signals for below-average heights to our north it's going to be tough to get prolonged warmth in here...only really good chance for warmer temperatures is just climo lol

It's quite possible...it's super close. Looks like the pattern relaxes a bit but with that ridge so massive out west and still signals of weak blocking to the north there doesn't appear to be strong signals for some persistently nice weather.

Saturday looks like it could potentially be a rather nice day...maybe similar to yesterday? Anyways though Euro/GFS today not promising for much of a change moving through the first week of May ughhh. This really does feel like 2018....which may not be a bad thing

Well we've finally made it to severe wx season and what better way to kick it off with the opportunity for convection...not talking about severe convection unfortunately, however, perhaps some gusty shower or t'storms with potential for small hail or grauple. But since this is a specific event a separate thread for that will come shortly (as in soon)!! Anyways, the April pattern has been nothing short of miserable...chilly, rainy, snow (well not miserable), windy, yuck. There are indications, however, this pattern may finally relax and we may introduce more of a zonal flow across the country. If anything, hopefully this leads to more seasonable temperatures. Perhaps the biggest thing to watch moving through the month will be opportunities for severe wx. Signals in the long range keep emerging strong ridging across the west. Obviously this isn't good for severe wx aspects in the central U.S. but this can shift favorable conditions for severe wx farther east...not necessarily into our region, but OV, mid-Atlantic, and if the proper pattern, into the Northeast. If anything, perhaps this can provide us with some opportunities for some NW flow events or some EML advection...this of course would have to occur via EML air becoming entrained in the exit region of the ridge and traversing through the upper-Midwest into Canada and then from southeast Canada into our area. I think too these EML's may be a bit easier to advect in than ones that pinch off from the SW U.S. b/c those have to traverses through the Plains and OV and stand a better chance at being moderating from warm/moist Gulf air surging northward. Actually having a ridge setting up in the west for May makes the weather geek in me happy as I was going to go to OK the end of May guhhhhhhhh

I'd say it was a pretty decent wet macroburst

I HAD A SEVERE WEATHER DREAM LAST NIGHT!!! Was under tornado warning and saw a massive gust front...severe season getting close!!!!!!

my mistake...yeah Feb 2006...I think I said Feb 2006 in the paragraph lol. I was thinking of the December 1, 2006 severe wx event when I typed that

1. May 31, 1998 Severe Weather Outbreak - This date can actually be defined as that entire weekend (Friday, May 29 to Sunday, May 31). I was in 4th grade at the time and I was going to my sisters for the weekend who lived in Windsor Locks. I don't remember the exact timing, but we had some real nasty t'storms move through late Friday afternoon. This was a pretty decent event (though I think the worst was just southwest of SNE). IMO, this day also gets very underlooked when discussing the 5/31/98 event as it played a crucial part in the outbreak. The cold front which produced the t'storms Friday, stalled south of the region. This boundary then moved north Sunday as a warm front...and a pretty active one as it produced rain and t'storms...I think even some severe weather. Anyways...enough of the weather set-up. From watching the news and reading the newspaper, I knew there was a risk for severe weather Sunday and I was PUMPED b/c I was going to be in Windsor Locks...just b/c of the 10/3/79 event I associated Windsor Locks with a great severe spot lol. The day started off cloudy/rainy, but by mid-morning skies quickly became sunny and it got hot and humid. I think it was also the neighbors kids birthday b/c there was a party going on...the Red Sox also played the Yankees this day and scored 10 runs in the 3rd inning I think...I remember eating a banana with my two nephews and friends and we were walking up and down the street chanting, "Red Sox rule, Yankees drool". Anyways...I kept closely watching TWC and listening to the radio and the were mentioning tornadoes and I was pumped...then the watch came out. Unfortunately, since I had school the next day I had to return home to West Hartford...I was pissed b/c I wanted to stay. When I got home I didn't even have to put TWC on b/c my parents already had it on. We closely watched as the t'storms in NY started approaching CT. Finally, the storms pushed into the state and a tornado warning went out for Litchfield County and the cell was headed in our direction. My parents went into the kitchen and I heard them making preparations to get myself, two brothers, and our kitty into the basement. My two brothers were scared but I was loving it. The t'storms hit and it was NUTS...strong winds, nickel hail (first time I'd seen hail) and then...a funnel cloud (or what my dad and I swear was a funnel cloud). We were both looking out the window (towards the east) and keep it mind its like 9:30-10:00 PM and real dark...only lightning lighting up the sky. In between the two houses across the street was this incredibly low cloud that may have been rotating. I'll never forget that. Also, around this time we got a call from my sister screaming, "THERE'S A TORNADO....OH MY GOD....THERE'S A TORNADO"...Windsor Locks also doesn't have many homes with basements in them and she is freaking out b/c she had 3 kids at the time...so we told her get into either the bathroom or a closet with blankets. Turns out not a tornado but she was dead smack in the middle of the microburst. 2. December 2006 snowstorm WOW...that was wild. I think I got 14'' of snow in 3-hours; including thundersnow. Ended up with 27'' of snow...half the storm total coming in that 3-hours when the death band just sat and pivoted. By far the most snow I had ever seen...until 2013. 3. June 10, 2008 (I think it was the 10th) 20 minutes of hail...mostly pea but as big as nickle...it piled up and accumulated...never, ever seen anything like that and haven't since. The duration of the hail was unbelievable. 4. May 15, 2018 Was in Danbury on a date that day and we were just a FEW MILES from the Microbust which occurred at Candlewood Lake). Had nickle hail and just insane winds. It was so wild couldn't even hear the thunder. What was really crazy was the power went out even before the gust front got to us. 5. Blizzard of 2013 Jaw dropping snow rates and flake size...it was like a severe thunderstorm with snow...winds were pretty strong too. I think I got 27.5'' of snow or 28' which just beat out Feb 2006. The snow drifts were wild. At some point could barely even see the street from outside my window. I think snow rates were like 3-4''/hour in WeHa. But I think Steve posted getting like 5-6''/hr...those radar returns were beyond insane.

can'tr rule out thunder either. soundings are pretty impressive with some weak instability

true