weatherwiz

Looks like some possible backdoor action? If not though, we may be quite hot. That cold front that tries moving in from the west seems to kinda wash out before getting here.

It could be relatively quick. Depends on how much upwelling there was. Considering how quickly the system moved and the heat returning I think they rebound pretty quickly.

I think we may break the record for 90F days in CT. TORCH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

gotta love the differences between the 6z/12z 3km NAM I actually can't stand the 3km NAM...I think it's a POS model. You would think the increased resolution would make it pretty solid but I think it's trash. IDK...maybe some scores out there will prove me wrong but it's trash.

I think you are right though...most of it is south. But I suppose though it all depends on where the boundary sets up. Right now there really isn't much support for it to be north enough. Although sometimes you can get elevated convection on the north side of them.

yeah it does look to stay mostly to the south. The 3km NAM also seemed to be a bit more beefy than NAM/GFS in terms of elevated CAPE. The 3km NAM actually looked like there was a small window for severe across LI and potentially the Cape later Saturday AM. Not sure I totally buy into it, but these setups have been known to surprise some in the past...especially in August.

Could be some loud booms along the coast overnight tomorrow/early Saturday morning

I love Miller Lite. Although I can't remember the last time I had one. I hardly ever drink anymore and when I do I can barely even finish a drink. But too me, it has the most flavor out of Bud Lite and Coors Lite. I first started drinking when I was 19/20 and I hated the taste of alcohol...couldn't stand it but I tried Miller Lite and I seemed to not hate it so I fell in love with it. That and 40's of Steel Reserve were my drinks of choice watching hockey games. But I retired from 40's of Steel Reserve December 13, 2018. ughhh 40's of Steel Reserve were the best thing ever

Pretty much every storm this season with the exception of Hanna and Isaias has been mehhhh. Hell...weren't two of them named for like 2 hours lol

I guess we can hope that it will last long enough to where by the time most people get it this can just fizzle out...and at the same time start becoming weaker. But obviously this leads to a ton of questions but it's just hope I suppose.

ahhh I had forgotten about that. They got destroyed

I just saw the NWS has mostly sunny skies at Newark tomorrow...odd.

history always repeats

maybe we'll get a blizzard hurricane tornadic producing system in November

When they heard the news that the Seattle NHL expansion team was named the Seattle Kraken they left the state

There is a beautiful TCU outside...gorgeous. Almost kinda looks like it could be a developing shower or t'storm

We can all just hope and pray that the phase 3 trials by Moderna/Oxford will yield great success and hopefully in the meantime additional treatments will have been found. Was reading something about some treatments in the works to help with antibody response. There is just no way the world can continue to operate the way we are. But the problem is as soon as you open up...boom. Something is going to have to give. Somehow...CT continues to just have this under control. It's gotta be pushing 4-5...maybe 6 weeks now where the daily percent of positive tests has been under one. There have only been a handful of days where it was just over 1. but bars/clubs can't open b/c the fear numbers will rise. Hospitalizations have been up/down...they did get as low as 53 I think but are just above 60 now. I know a few teachers...some have kids and they are petrified about going back to school. One of my friends who is around 30 is a teacher (no kids) but she has underlying health issues and lives with her grandfather and takes care of him who also has issues. I can't even imagine what parents/teachers are going through. There are huge arguments for both sides of the spectrum and the worst part is how the hell do you know which side is correct?

Has anyone used the ISU site for bufkit before? the PSU site has been having all kinda of issues. Was trying to load profiles into bufget from the ISU site, however, doesn't seem to work. https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/index.html

Friday looks like we could see quite a few downpours and thunderstorms

Looks like a window from 5-10 AM and then another maybe 4-8 PM. HRRR looks like it's going to be wild with wind

yeah it does appear as if it will stop ingesting dry air shortly...or very little. Where landfall happens will be big too...obviously the longer the eye stays over the water the greater the chance for strengthening but in this situation the longer it stays over water the closer to we towards sunset/evening when convection can start to increase.

starting to see some overshooting tots on satellite

the 18z HRRR has some nasty looking discrete cells moving through early tomorrow AM

If it did get higher than a cat 1 we would be in deep trouble But I doubt so too...I'm thinking maybe 80-85 mph?

crap...you're right. well I'm kinda glad about that