weatherwiz

yikes

Yup...it sucks. The worst part about having transitioned to waking up at 4:15 AM is the darkness...started this back in early January and from what I gathered there's about 3 weeks where it's actually light out when leaving at 5 lol

Feeling a little disturbed after the last few pages

12z Euro has 20''+ across a chunk of eastern LA...yikes

they've made life much easier for sure...and more complicated lol

well the Euro is in-line with the other guidance

that's my work schedule

Actually I will say...now that I've become much more inactive the HHH does ware me down much more quickly. When I was more active (my previous job involved doing alot outside) I had a much more tolerance for HHH. As I get older the cold just bothers me so much more though...I cramp up so easily. If i like keep my arm in a bent position and then straighten it out too quick when I'm cold I'll get a major cramp down my arm

I actually do. I never had AC on my own. From 2009-2013 with my mom we were on the second floor...didn't have AC in my room and it was 85-90 all summer and during the hottest periods 95-99 in my room. Then when I got my own apartment with my brother I didn't use AC either. I only got it b/c my girlfriend at the time said it was either get one or she was not staying. On my own I won't use A/C...only time is driving really but I just suck it up and deal with it. When most people walk outside and gasp it'snot a big deal to me b/c I'm not subjecting my body from a 65 room to 90 temperatures.

what a shift with the 12z runs with the system...not good.

hey you asked lol

I would think it would be easily possible. From what I udnerstand much of the data comes from ASOS stations anyway so being able to compute an average shouldn't be difficult. PHI BGM FWD TAE OKX FSD HGX IND VEF EAX MEG LOT LMK PAFC

I agree...we are in a hot pattern and how I guess an individual wants to define that is up to them but at the end of the day there needs to be a scientific distinction of the term. Peak climo at places like BDL (~86 I think it may be?), BOS (maybe 84?) ORH (maybe 82?). So when these sights are pushing ~90+ for BDL; 86-88+ for BOS; and close to 85 for ORH...it's hot.

It's tough for verification purposes. For example, say looking at crap and go with a SE wind or whatever...the daily climate reports just give highest wind direction which I'm not entirely sure I 100% understand...is it reporting the highest in degrees the wind happened to be that day? Let's say the wind for the most part was 165 on average at about 8 mph...but some flock of birds flew over and the wind shifted to 242 and increased to 12 mph...only the 242 would be listed. STUPID

I wish every NWS office would also include resultant wind direction in their daily climate reports. It sucks it just includes highest wind direction.

That is something I am quite concerned about

what really defines a pattern...and to be more specific hot and humid? BDL is just a bizarre place...or heck perhaps even any major airport just b/c the influences of the environment aren't "natural"...but does that make the readings irrelevant?...no. Of course someone who lives in a major city is going to have a differing opinion of the weather than someone living in the hills or a forested location. But if its 96/72 at BDL but only 86/66 at some forested or heavily "veggie" environment the person at BDL is going to say hot/humid while the other is going to differ...so which is correct? IMO, the answer comes down to climo of each environment. In retrospect the climo at these locations shouldn't differ by all that much...but let's say BDL is running +6...well in a perfect world that other location should also be running near +6. what I'm trying to get at is you can't define these things by the reading of the thermometer but by the anomaly of the event. Based on the below map...whether you live deep inside the forest or are tanning on the tarmac since the start of the month its been toasty based on the anomaly of the pattern

Perhaps the main circulation being a bit too close to land could prevent more in the way of strengthening?

There is some really nice convection with cooling tops but yeah quite displaced. We'll see what happens over the next 24-36 hours.

I'll tell you...the Gulf of Mexico makes me super nervous. No wind shear, water temps about as hot as the breath coming out of Kevin's mouth...who's to say this can't undergo RI and blossom into a like a category 2?

Anyways Friday looks real messy for us...should again see widespread downpours and t'storms with flash flooding #1 threat. Could see some slow movers too...especially anything that fires well ahead of the front.

When I saw this map earlier I did not get a very good feeling.

You're forgiven...it's early haha.

yeah I was actually about to check river levels but I'm pretty certain they are quite high.

Louisiana