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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    The games have been absolutely phenomenal but to decide 3-3 is maddening. Imagine if NHL did 3-3 OT in playoffs?
  2. weatherwiz
    3-3 OT in Olympics, particularly for a medal is absolutely insanely ridiculous
  3. weatherwiz
    so many chances on both sides. what incredible PK by the US...whew
  4. weatherwiz
    maybe it's me being a weenie but based on the mid levels I would absolutely bet QPF ends up being much higher across Connecticut. Unless things really do shut off that quickly but that mid level evolution and low tracks seem pretty prime to me for CT
  5. weatherwiz
    I am inclined to side with this as well. I mean it does make sense if it occludes too quickly but you still have a good deal of 700mb VV on the northwest side of the low back across CT late Monday morning while NAM is winding down. I still think models are shutting things down a bit too quickly
  6. weatherwiz
    That is going to absolutely crush from BOS down through Hartford into Southwest CT
  7. weatherwiz
    That is going to be some absolutely epic banding
  8. weatherwiz
    Absolutely salivating looking around at soundings. This one is New Haven, CT from 6z NAM
  9. weatherwiz
    General line expanded north!!!!
  10. weatherwiz
    That happened to me once I think in 2008. We were having a morning severe event (I think it was the day of the Swanzey, NH F2. I stayed up for like 2 days in a row excited for that morning and fell asleep as things were starting and I missed 1"+ hail at my house
  11. weatherwiz
    I don't know if any of us can go that long without seeing the SREFs
  12. weatherwiz
    Ahhh yes I see it now.
  13. weatherwiz
    My initial thought was something along those lines but the soundings are absolutely nuts. Kind of reminds me of 2013 when we were seeing radar returns like that but it was all snow
  14. weatherwiz
    This is absolutely disgusting on the Cape. That's 40+ dbz
  15. weatherwiz
    ka-boom
  16. weatherwiz
    the banding
  17. weatherwiz
    I still think the models are breaking that down a bit too quickly
  18. weatherwiz
    Gotta show some love to the WSSI
  19. weatherwiz
    Talk dirty to me and whisper slowly next to me ear
  20. weatherwiz
    Exactly!! I absolutely believe there will be some 4"+ per hour rates
  21. weatherwiz
    Ultimately, I would really like to start seeing more signals for a pivot and maintaining of this intense fronto to really get excited and hopeful for widespread 18-24" but its more a quick south to north push and then it kind of fizzles. I think though there are signals which argue for that to occur and I wouldn't totally expect models to accurately handle this right now. But anyways...it is going to be absolutely epic for some hours. 18z NAM 18z GFS
  22. weatherwiz
    This. Gotta be very careful with using QPF charts to diagnose banding. Intuitively it makes sense but this is where you have to look at mid-levels, how they're evolving, and how they're tracking. And with this that is part of why I think 18z GFS QPF is a bit underdone
  23. weatherwiz
    I'm greedy and want/hoping for 2 feet even though I'm not getting it. Getting 2 feet would get me ~40" from 100 and then hopefully cut that to 20" end of the week
  24. weatherwiz
    I wouldn't be surprised if the GFS was actually a bit too low with QPF, especially along the QPF gradient (like Ray alluded too earlier) but too me it seems the GFS is way too quick in shutting down the CCB. I know the system has occluded but its shutting things down a bit too quickly with 850mb winds coming in at 50-60+ knots. Yeah its more of a northerly component but there is still a moisture fetch from the Atlantic.
  25. weatherwiz
    I don't think that's chasing convection there. Just kind of a quick glance but at least one thing it looks like is it isn't as clean with the injection of all the shortwave energy on the backside.
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