weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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May not have an EML but potential for steeper than usual lapse rates. This could be a significant wind event though if the strongest shear wasn’t lagging. With this said, given large CAPE and large dew point depression, there may be a nice swath of wind damage but with rapid weakening as the line enters western areas
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AWT
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Sucks the strongest shear lags behind the front Friday. but with large CAPE/a bit of an EML we could still pull off some big storms, its just they would be more pulse type and may not be organized
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Was waiting for your comment on this! Its intriguing for sure.
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ahhh yes you're right. Comes out of convection which evolves in the upper-Midwest. Certainly can work but...that is definitely more of a long shot,
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That’s a good thought. I didn’t think of that. It seems though the question is the trajectory of that shortwave diving southeast out of Canada and where the front becomes positioned. I am really intrigued by this but I hate how it’s just really the NAM that is showing a robust EML. The euro may be as well but I only have weather models so limited on euro products.
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Violence Thursday on the 18z NAM.
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Well I guess its cooler if you're going to compare 86 versus 93 lol.
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I didn't look at the AI's. I have not been particularly impressed with them lately. That seems extremely overstated to me
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Doesn't really seem like a cool(er) look to me, outside of perhaps any post fropa but we probably go right back to above average
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NAM is really aggressive with an expansive EML advecting into the region. GFS not so much. A little nervous on this because the NAM tends to overdo these, however, you throw an EML in Thursday with a shortwave trough moving through and there will be some severe storms. Lots of details to iron out these next few days!
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Could be here. Probably be evening though but can’t rule out afternoon stuff, especially west
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Thursday could be a big day
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why can't we get this
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The amount of wind we have had this spring has been absolutely annoying. It seems like every day is gusting 15-20+ mph.
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The winds along the leading edge from yesterday in New Britain
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In East Longmeadow. Nice light show
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Pretty solid! Probably gusted 45-50…maybe towards 55
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Come to your daddy
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Went to New Britain. Got a nice view from walnut Hill Park. Shelf incoming soon
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Actually debating headed to BDL But its about a 2 hour drive so would have to make the call by 4
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Starting to debate on having to head south. Have a spot at Mt. Greylock. RRFS had been showing a good line coming through S VT but nothing has developed yet and not seeing much in the say of a CU field on satellite. Even wondering if CT might be solid with that NE PA stuff
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It is getting HOT in the sun.
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If we can keep the sfc wind direction more S/SE there may be some transient supercells involved. LCL heights are really high though.
