weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Looks like GFS is much stronger with the energy diving in from the OV then the NAM is...maybe even a little lagged on the NAM so it just misses blowing it up more
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This would be wild. I still like the support for what the GFS/Euro suggest in terms of the CCB strength. There is going to be some pretty strong frontogenesis and jet dynamics support a great deal of upper-level dynamics so I think we should really see the sfc low strengthen.
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I think there's quite a bit which favors this being the more likely scenario.
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Gotcha...makes sense. I am fine with the NW Hills but certainly could be too high towards the Northeast part of the state. I am thinking this system ends up on the stronger side but just not all that certain on exact track. Slight wobbles would mean a big difference in some spots.
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the 4-6'' area I had in NW CT?
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Could be a severe threat next weekend if the warm front lifts north!!!!!! 80 last Sunday, snow this weekend, severe next weekend hahaha
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Pretty happy with my snowfall map from yesterday....yay. Though I am concerned that even in the valley there could be 2-3'' potentially.
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Even so it suggests accumulating snows into the NW Hills
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Ehhh will see. I do think NW CT will get into the banding. I’ll probably do an update after the 12z Euro tomorrow. Hopefully there will be a bit more convergence then but this is just too close to write off. 30-50 miles in either direction is quite significant
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I can see that happening. Seems pretty favorable for low deepening. That fronto band is going to mean big time business
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Wooohooo
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Hold me!!!!!
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My initial call may be too low
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Frontogenesis is meteorological for naked snow angels
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Anyone else been having weird loading issues with mobile?
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I think the Euro solution makes the most sense...going to be tough to get accumulating snow here in the Valley but the NW Hills of CT should get hit good and interior New England going to get smoked. 6-10'' jack where the band sets up I don't think is a far stretch. (Actually I could see the valley down here maybe getting a coating to an inch)
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PV induced tornado outbreaks in June!!! PV crashes into an airmass characterized by temps in the 90's, dewpoints in the lower 70's, and lapse rates 8.5 C/KM with strong shear...directional and speed....HIGH RISK!!!!!!
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I mean I agree the odds aren't necessarily great for us, but the NW Hills could get whacked pretty good...even on the NAM they would get into some of the banding and there would be problems there.
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30-50 mi shift SE on this and we get smoked...wouldn't completely write it off yet.
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SW VT on the NY border right under where the fronto is. Somewhere...someone is going to get crushed. Thinking like max zone could be up around 6-9''' of snow...heavy and wet too so that would mean big problems.
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Some spots may struggle to get much above 40 on Saturday...especially if we cloud over really quickly
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There was a distinct exit marker on 91...want to say around exit 37 where the damage went from spotty to just widespread. It was insane.
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yeah from what I heard the snow was incredibly heavy. I'll never forget coming back down from VT the day after the storm. Got to about Springfield on 91 and saw some trees and limbs down along side the highway but got into CT and it was holy ****. Got to Hartford and it was a disaster. I think I took like 100 storm photos from that. Side street near my house was completely covered with leaves and limbs...looked like a tornado went down the street.
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I was in VT for that, however, my boss at the time lived in Windsor and he said things started snapping at like 2''...then after about another inch or two shit started hitting the fan
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ehhh I would think probably even 4'' would start to do so. Back in 2011, just before we had the snow event I remember Denver area getting like 3-5'' of heavy, wet snow and they had widespread power outages and tree damage...I remember this b/c after our event I think it was brought up on here and that should have been an indicator to what would happen here given we were getting double or triple those totals.
