Really not bad considering temps are barely above 50. Actually quite impressed with the llvl lapse rates...given the conditions, cloud cover, etc they're not too bad.
Agreed on your thoughts. I think it's going to get tough to advect in the steeper llvl lapse rates needed to ultimately yield severe gusts. I did notice that some forecast soundings did exhibit a bit of an inverted V signature but I also noticed potential for an inversion to develop...warm front at the sfc remains south and we get WAA aloft but strengthening llvl jet off the water will probably make some inversion.