weatherwiz

Well if the rotation is present within the t’storm but I’m not looking at a storm...just TCU’s that are tilted

Rotation within that line too. Might get hit at BDL!!!

Just means winds are changing direction with height

All the updrafts are tilted hahahaa

No I’m at BDL. I was on the road before that sucker got going. With rush hour traffic anyways not sure I could have made it. Plus for safety I prefer to get to a spot and “sit it out” and hope something comes to me...I usually pick a spot with a good view

We TOR

TOR Hartford/Tolland/Windham

Been watching this. But interesting bottom left

Broad rotation by Wethersfield

Getting a good look at winsted cell and looks to be strengthening

The better forcing is arriving now. Shear/instability still out there and some stuff developing. A few may be able to take off...we’ll see

Should have just went to New Britain lol

Fook it...headed to BDL. GFS says 49 minutes to get there

It still seems rather unstable per mesoanalysis with no CIN showing up. Back in WeHa now but quite a bit of clouds. But shear is there with s/w arriving so we’ll see what happens.

Hoping stuff in E NY will intensify in CT. Debating on going to BDL but traffic now would be a shit show and there is an accident before 91 merger

I did/do see those concerns, however, like I mentioned a few posts back there are differences here. Shear increases as the afternoon progresses...not decreases and the signals have been in place for rapid destabilization behind this. With dews so high and still strong sun it won't take much for temps to jump and vastly re-boost CAPE.

This is the 16z HRRR for BDL at 0z...obviously indications are there that we destabilize quite a bit later on. FWIW...it does have that convection moving through now as it lowers CAPE then quickly rebuilds it...LLJ strengthens too

There is something about today which is different from similar setups. Typically in these sort of setups our best shear happens to be during the morning and then weakening through the afternoon. While our mlvl shear is near maximum, the llvl jet should continue to increase a bit more through the afternoon. Behind this CT stuff there is ample clearing so... Looking over PA and even NW NJ CU initiating and convection forming. Models insist that we recover pretty quickly and should keep MLCAPE high...I think we see scattered severe t'storms between 5-10 PM.

heavy, heavy damage coming for you

Looks like some signs of a CU field back in W PA...so once this line moves through we should be able to quickly get into sun and destabilize...real tough to figure out later on b/c the CAMS are just all over the place.

Looks like West Hartford is going to get hit pretty good

It's not warnable right now. It's real weak/broad at 5k which means hardly anything closer to the sfc...if it was much stronger at 5k then you could argue