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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. That's good. I'm not sure what to think of that...I am thinking that the dry air would probably be on the backside of the precip which could could help with some heavier rates. Would see a scenario of where it rips like 1-2" for a few hours then shuts off. Lots of details to iron out today
  2. I wanted too but I guess they're only available on pivotal-plus now and I don't know where else they are available but I would really be curious to see what they look like. When I started looking at soundings I had to double check the time stamps were correct and whether maybe they loaded in error...that's how bad they look lol
  3. I thought maybe it was a cod thing and still some errors with sounding generation but even down into NJ/E PA...those soundings are horrific looking. Thats some serious dry air punching in aloft. I was really shocked seeing the DGZ so high too but makes since because there is a deep warming layer from 850-750. But looking deeper I see why the Winter Storm Watches are where they are. The swath of heaviest snow is going to be tied right into the axis of strongest WAA which is going to be quite a bit away to our southwest. We still should get some light snow into SW CT I think...I was thinking there could be potential for several inches of snow there but may have to rethink to maybe only a couple inches possible.
  4. I like what Ryan said yesterday in that we would probably see a more consolidated band of heaver snow than what is shown. Aloft this kind of looks like crap. Have to fire up bufkit but some of the forecast soundings on the northern side of that precip shield look like crap...even within Fairfield County which I was thinking could have some potential for several inches. But still too much uncertainty to really have any concrete thoughts and that blocking we can't discount. Hopefully we'll get a bit more clarity with the 12z suite.
  5. yup...getting worried its going to turn into what happened last year. Bruins were right in the thick of things right up until about this time of year. Oh well...if they are going to keep losing thankfully they are close enough to the bottom to where they could have a shot for the #1 pick if the lottery balls fall their way.
  6. Took the dog outside after the first period and it’s like raining snow lol. It sounds like rain but it’s snowing…or more along the lines of sleet/graupel hit ground is coated.
  7. Someone in PA is going to get some significant icing. I don't see much room for this to get any farther north but SW CT may still be in the game for accumulating snow.
  8. its been great seeing positive trends moving closer to the window of interest versus negative trends. Something is going to work in our favor over the next 10-14 days.
  9. I miss oceanstatewx...he would have some tremendous insight into this
  10. Was pretty shocked looking at 12z bufkit for PWM...perhaps indicating the better stuff will be favored northeast and PWM could even struggle to pull off more than 5-6". Its definitely going to be close because it all really depends on how everything aligns.
  11. It probably is a result of smoothing and averaging, but that would be something pretty damn good to work with...if we got the TPV to dig exactly as shown. There really is no way to see each member, is there? The OP doesn't dig as aggressively and we would probably need to see the OP more in line of the ENS to really make this potentially noteworthy. I'd be curious to know where each member stands
  12. yup...sun during the day tomorrow with temperatures into the mid 30's...bye bye snow.
  13. so much for low sun angle saving things...I mean we don't even have any sun and its melting. Would have needed a good 3-4" OTG. I don't care what the sun angle is or what the sky cover is...if its into the 30's anything less than that is going to melt, albelit slowly but still melt.
  14. Everything that fell here is all gone...melted caput. Only part of the yard that still has a coating is where we had the pool.so there is a random giant circular spot that has a coating of snow and that's it.
  15. We used to be so upset because we'd watch the ticker at the bottom of the news and see all the districts around us closed but West Hartford either fully open or late start lol. But West Hartford did a damn good job with cleaning the roads which I'm sure was factored in.
  16. I want to say it was one of those monster winters we had in the early 2010's where it really got the discussion going. I don't even know how or why I know this because I didn't have any ties to the school system anymore but maybe just from West Hartford social media groups but I recall discussions about using days from April vacation because they had so many snow days and there were concerns because 1) you had to have 180 school days 2) you can't go to school past a certain date in June Was pretty crazy because growing up in West Hartford, we hardly ever had full snow days. We would mostly have late starts (60-90 minutes) or if a storm was coming during the day, dismiss early. K-12 I would say the number of snow days I had was under 10. I was community college during that one winter (think it was 2015) and taking Differential Equations...class met Monday and Wednesday's and we didn't have a single Wednesday class for like 3 weeks lol.
  17. If anything round 2 may favor southern VT, southern NH, and probably central/eastern MA for maybe an inch or two of snow. I could see CT getting some very light snows but not really accumulating.
  18. basically just flurries here with filtered sun poking through. In fact, snow has already melted off roofs and some surfaces...even the grass a bit
  19. This didn't happened when I was in school (although maybe it was being discussed when I was in high school and implemented shortly after) but do they use days from like February or April break to make up for snow days instead of going deeper into June? I know some districts had done this.
  20. If roads are going to be messy, there really is no need in making people go out and travel, especially now with remote learning an option and remote work (obviously there are exceptions) but its disheartening when you hear and read of accidents because of weather and people are killed. No need to have busses out in these road conditions
  21. 100% agreed. It's extremely underrated. I remember when it first came out I didn't recall wanting to see it because it had none of the original cast but I remember watching it when I was sick...it was hysterical.
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