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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. yeah that back edge approaching quick. folks under the banding though are good for a bit though
  2. I am right on the edge on some of the heavier echoes so it can't be too far away.
  3. Should be able to keep the banding going farther east...perhaps even some continued enhancement
  4. I don't think that is necessarily indicating a change to sleet, I think its indicating that as the DGZ begins to dry out behind the banding and precipitation rates taper off, precip could end as a bit of sleet pellets but that isn't going to negatively impact totals. All of the accumulation will have occurred by then
  5. Well if there is going to be thundersnow should start seeing reports very shortly
  6. Cloud tops continuing to cool as well to the east which is a great sign
  7. yup...what was lost was negligible but that is what was going to happen...come in like a wall where the banding outside of the banding is a bit of a different story. Like I'm waiting for snow here despite being under some returns. will take a bit here until those heavier echoes push east
  8. Scott is talking about dry air more towards eastern MA and his area...it wasn't a concern here
  9. The llvl dry air is/was always a concern farther northeast. Not western or central CT. It was always to saturate quickly
  10. saw this pop up live on Radarscope!!! SUMMARY...Heavy snow bands will spread/develop southeast across upstate NY toward southern New England over the next few hours. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr are expected. DISCUSSION...Low-amplitude short-wave trough is progressing southeast across western NY/PA early this evening. Latest water-vapor imagery depicts a notable midlevel vort max southwest of Syracuse, and this is reflected well in radar data. Multiple heavy snow bands have developed ahead of this vort max, strongly influenced by low-level warm advection, extending across upstate NY into the lower Hudson Valley. Boundary layer moistening supports this with dew points now rising into the mid teens (F) where snow rates are increasing. Over the next few hours snow rates are expected to increase downstream across western CT and Long Island, largely in response to this well-defined short wave digging toward the northern Middle Atlantic. Snow rates of 1-1.5"/hr can be expected prior to the short wave passage.
  11. There are some signals another max (albeit probably weaker than the main one) developing here...exactly what Ray was indicating
  12. That was around the time BDL used to not measure correctly
  13. I had to turn off mPING reports. 8,000,00 report about how sidewalks are being covered with snow. I'm looking for totals and trying to decipher rates. Don't need to know your sidewalk is covered
  14. This really got solidified quickly. This is a phenomenal sign
  15. the is a well defined warm front. this along with the fronto has to yield encouragement for along and EOR.
  16. I don't know. We dry out the DGZ very quickly so precipitation is going to shut off quickly. A reason why I think many could actually end as a bit of sleet or freezing drizzle. But this is also why I think 18z NAM QPF is out too lunch...still has QPF falling when we've essentially dried out the DGZ. If we're still snowing past that time its Arctic sand and won't accumulate
  17. yeah they're doing well there. Seems like the drier air though is having a difficult time saturating in eastern PA into NJ. In fact, looks like dewpoints have even dropped some over the last few hours, even our region.
  18. Crazy to think its about 2.5-3 hours it will be dumping snow. Snowing by 6-6:30 for most with a quick 2-3 hour pukeage of snow then it starts to taper off by 10-11. Fun time ahead
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