weatherwiz

Arkansas/Louisiana going to get crushed Tuesday. That is going to be one powerful squall line...gusts 70-90???

Didn’t encounter any snow this morning. Was slightly worried it may be a bit icy but roads were fine. Had to rush to the emergency vet at 2:30 this morning

It's a stigma that just won't go away. But I mean how many people out there are creating forecasts based off of 6z/18z runs? I would probably wager not many...well maybe in the Pacific/Alaskan/Hawaiian time zones. But for the most part, by the time the 6z/18z runs start coming out, most forecasts are probably already complete...maybe if there is potential for local storm impact there are some tweaks made. Maybe 6z/18z are used more for the nowcast/short-term

Was just about to post...could see a decent low topped squall line signal here Wednesday. Some big timing differences but looks like some pretty steep lapse rates and unseasonably moist llvl theta-e advecting up the coast. Could see severe risk as far north as northern New Jersey

I mean there could be some risk for general thunder with any eastward propagating troughs and we happen to be in the warm sector.

Have to remember that this time of year and in these patterns...whatever MOS has (even NBM because I am still not convinced the NBM is great) to add +5 (at least) to daytime highs...this applies all over the country

Agreed...I was just stating that because of the progressive nature of the pattern whatever anomalous warmth we see probably won't be sustained.

When it comes to anomalous spring time warmth in our region I just exercise extreme caution. I agree with you the teleconnectors and classical indicators are there, however, as you are well aware this time of year little mesoscale and smaller-scale nuisances can outweigh any of those signals. This is why you can't just run off H5 anomalies...H5 could be baking us with 570dm+ heights but the surface could yield an entirely different story.

I don't see this March being an atypical New England March. We're going to have mild periods (perhaps even unseasonably warm for a day or two at a time) but we'll also have our share of colder periods. Looks like we could be dealing with a pretty progressive weather pattern heading into March...but again, not totally uncommon for March.

Back patio FINALLY ice free! Dog is very happy. Still has trouble walking within the yard though because of the snow but hopefully this will help get him comfortable with going to the bathroom outside more and not inside.

Outside with the dog before bed and it’s pretty nice out still…wow

That is quite the difference between Euro OP/GFS OP for March 5-6 lol. Euro with a 984 primary into Michigan and sliding across southeast Canada. Kevin would have his wind fetish satisfied

Keep in mind too, the better part of the last decade has been some wild transitions between ENSO events and this includes multiple super strong EL Nino's. When you account for lags which typically exist between the oceanic-atmospheric coupling and then throw in some rapid ENSO transitions and you're dealing with extreme chaos. Lots of gradients, both temperature and pressure, and combined with external forcings, what is the response of the atmosphere going to be with these gradients...very fast flows during the NH winter. We get ourselves into some more dormant ENSO years and we will see things relax.

That was one incredible stretch for sure

I’m still not over last winter. I felt really good going into the winter. The straw in the bag was the early Feb storm (well almost mid Feb) where north/central CT ended up getting hammered. I for sure thought I would see a foot minimum and got like 3.5”. I’m just ready to reset and try again next winter. If we get something in the next 3-4 weeks I’m game but I’m not getting investing in anything outside of 3-4 days (except of what I would have to do for work).

Getting a bit icy out there with todays melt refreezing

Sweeney/Neely screwed up and Montgomery was the scapegoat. Montgomery is a west coast offense guy…that’s why they brought him in, they wanted to become a more explosive offensively team. But what do you need for that system…speed and guys who can play make and quickly transition zone to zone. After the first Florida loss…Sweeney/Neely asked multiple bruins and Montgomery what they needed…they said speed. Same thing after last season. So what did they do, go out and bring in just the opposite. They have to re-tool on some players and the whole coaching staff.

Bank this… Bruins get the second wild card spot, match against the Caps, and knock them out in 5. but yeah I’m down for a little retool.

Tip’s sun angle definitely felt today. Was sweating actually driving…didn’t even need heat on

Eh we can get lucky with a few of those days. Hopefully anyways

I am really hoping we can sneak in some upper 70’s and 80’s in late April and May on a weekend with a Bruins playoff game and watch outside…that would be heaven. If we can muster out final snow storm let’s do it.

I was thinking of that, is that stuff safe for dogs though? I thought it wasn’t good for their pads

And WTF is going on in here? Some folks may want to get checked for carbon monoxide poisoning

This is nuts. Made a little bit of progress on back patio. Just sucks it only gets a few hours of sun.

68 days!!!