weatherwiz

I can’t wait for it to be about 20F warmer with dews about 35F higher. It’s nice outside but even better with 90-70

Meant more into Montana and maybe Wyoming...should have specified that

The pattern is going to be active with fronts moving through and some multiple anomalously strong lows developing within the northern Plains (probably bringing some accumulating snow to higher mountain peaks). We're going to have plenty of precipitation chances through the end of the month. But with the pattern the nice days are going to be quite nice and the bad days are going to be pretty awful.

Did anyone know you can view 4 panel charts on COD and choose which 4 products to display??? https://climate.cod.edu/products/forecast/mod4p.php?model=HRRR&runtime=12# HRRR outdated in that link but NAM/GFS fine. Would be sick if it had euro

Man so much beer in there the last 10-12 hours I almost got drunk reading it

It does...its great on a super hot day but otherwise wind is annoying. It can make yard work more challenging depending on what you're doing and if you're just sitting outside relaxing trying to read something (although I guess everyone just uses a phone for that now) its super annoying. My girlfriend and I will like to sit outside and play cards but we haven't been able to do that because of the wind.

Is it possible anymore to have a day without wind???

That I am not sure about...I know that is the case with the equatorial PAC and ATL but not sure if that is the case off the EC. I would think they are probably to some degree but probably negligible really. I just thought it was a pointless tweet because if SSTAs were 65 versus 45 right now off the EC or early in tropical season, that would have no bearing on increasing/decreasing potential for tropical systems to survive farther north. Hell, if they were 71 versus 45 there still would be no difference. SSTs below 80 are going to have a negative feedback on tropical systems.

Yeah something can't be right with that.

But that could be said every year then.

Not too mention he's comparing the SSTs of the Gulf Stream to SSTs surrounding it

wtf...its early May. Water temperatures aren't going to be into the 60's yet. Also, actually to this point, sea-surface temperatures off the coast are actually running above average.

Suspiciously looks like "climo" for either a neutral ENSO summer or a negative Neutral ENSO. Just take the average of an entire composite set and call it a forecast...some skill that is

I believe with clear air mode the radar is more likely to pick up stuff like dust or even pollen

GWDLT

Pretty decent afternoon!!!

Not feeling so good about the second half of May anymore

The way weekends have been going, I'm expecting much of Saturday to blow

Would be curious to know if that would be approaching any records for May. Can probably just download the daily/monthly data after and check.

Where's @Typhoon Tip This seems like an impressive dip in the PNA for mid-May, no? EPS is even more negative too

Sun out here, turning into a decent late afternoon

Yup some nice cells. Told me friend who lives in NW NJ yesterday they could see an upgrade to slight today with some tornado potential.

I would mind living near MAF for like April/May/early June

The outflow and gust front meant business. I think I've read some accounts from some of the SNE wx pages of people saying how chilly it felt with the outflow and gust front. With the way the storms were were aligned and tracking its possible maybe you had a couple localized areas where the outflows interacted and produced some brief, but intense straight-line winds.

Gotta say...the Euro from late last week anyways did a damn good job at nailing the second half of the week here. The GFS was super aggressive with building in the high pressure. Euro sniffed out precip along the weak cold front sagging south Thursday.