weatherwiz

give it another several weeks

Yeah looks like a quiet period upcoming but some signals things may get a bit more active...probably around the time too many are heading out to the Plains to chase. But def can't sleep on next week, have to see what moisture return is like but that is going to be an anomalously strong jet traversing the deep South again

I think the worst outdoor event I've endured was my high school graduation. Having to wear a suit under our gown that day and it was in the mid 90's under full sun...the ceremony I think was late afternoon but it was brutal. Thankfully they were very stocked and prepared with waters for everyone. Second would have to be this event which hosted a ton of various sports mascots from around the region. It was when I worked part time with the Town of West Hartford and at the skating rink and our mascot went (and my brother was the mascot and I was the guide). It was in the 90's that day...I felt absolutely horrible for those in the costumes but they had a ton of tents with AC/fans and plenty of water. Some of the costumes even had built in fans.

It was awful. All of a sudden I started hearing a noise and said to my girlfriend, "Do I have a flat?" so I pulled over and the tire was toast. It was around 10:00 PM and we had been driving for over 3 hours. Not too mention it was chilly. The guy who came almost seemed hesitant to even want to change the tire, he said a lot of people get killed in that area. That is scary stuff too...I've seen quite a people walking along sides of highways, most because their car broke down but I'd be petrified.

Very much so, they're both meteorologists too But they were willing to take the gamble. Gotta live dangerously sometimes lol

I recall being happy about the prospects last week but I totally forgot about the wedding. Its an outside wedding too I believe so I don't want their ceremony to be ruined from rain. Just hoping its one of those quick ceremonies then we can get to the reception then I can settle in and get the Bruins game loaded on my phone

Really happy actually this end of the week rain isn't panning out. Have to drive to New Jersey tomorrow evening for another wedding Friday night. I just hope this journey is better than our trip to Long Island two weeks ago. My rear passenger tire decided to go flat on the Long Island Expressway about 10 minutes from our hotel. That was incredibly scary having to stand in this divider area between guardrails where the highway split off waiting for All State to come and change out the tire (I have to invest in a tool to do this myself).

2 days left...exciting stuff

WOW! Been some monster hailers these past few days. I wonder if we can pull off a 4.50-5.00" in Texas today.

Good point. There might not have been that much of a recovery time, despite the evolving environment.

I have considered this. Perhaps I should, then May's not suck anymore

3 days left

I was initially shocked to see the PDS tornado watch, especially given it was south of where the best overlap of ingredients seemed to be and even south of the moderate risk which was for the higher tornado probs. I wonder if the lack of upper-level forcing was a big culprit in this...those situations are always a challenge because too much forcing (or too strong) and you'll have convection developing all over the place making it difficult for convection to become mature enough and utilize the environment fully. Probably should throw in capping too...that EML may have been a bit too strong (coincident with the weaker forcing). This may have been a huge issue even in Missouri...many of those cells were really trying to take off but something was impeding those updrafts from really taking off.

2 tornado warnings for STL in like 90 minutes

pretty crazy...went from a chill with the heat kicking on a few hours ago to about ready to open windows

4 days to go Equal to the number of goals the Bruins allowed in the first period in game 4

what an environment that will be in place across eastern Missouri today. CAMs have been incredibly nasty around the STL market. Going to be wild there today

Unfortunately, the prospects for any sustained temperatures above the seasonal average is quite low as we move into the month of May and we may even have to wait fairly deep into May to flip the script. Unseasonably strong late season blocking continues to be a dominant mode within the Arctic domain and Greenland resulting in troughniess and below average heights dominating from the northern Inter-mountain West region across the northern Plains, upper-Midwest, and Northeast. There are some hints on the GFS/Euro we could see this pattern breakdown a bit moving towards mid-May, however, it is very possible that is a bit too optimistic and it is just the weighting of climo towards the end of the run making it appear the pattern will breakdown. Hopefully towards the back end of the month we can introduce some heat, humidity, and severe weather chances. While May is the beginning of severe weather season, that doesn't mean we get flooded with threats right away. Just like how June 1 is the official beginning to the Atlantic hurricane season...we aren't flooded with hurricanes on June 2. Patience, patience, patience.

5 days left

6 days to go A touchdown and a Borregales extra point miss away

Yeah it's not going to be doom and gloom 100% of the time. We'll have our mix of pleasant days and crap day, it's just the crap days may win out. So, we just take the pleasant days we can and hope they happen on the weekend. For the most part its just going to be a bit on the cool side, but with climatological maxes slowly creeping up, even the "cool days" with respect to climo won't be too bad.

Unfortunately, this crap pattern is probably going to persist at least through the first few weeks of May. These types of patterns aren't ones that tend to break down quickly either.

Unfortunately not looking so hot possibly through the first half of the month

Down to 7 days! A touchdown + the kick away

This is wonderful!