weatherwiz

NBM argues BOS may not fall below 80F. BDL would have a legit shot of trying or even breaking their all time overnight low record

6z/13 NAM bufkit for BTV. About as impressive as an environment as you'll see around here out ahead of storms

Kind of shocked we don't have a general thunder area for Wednesday. I still think south of the Pike has chance for storms during the day and there would be a threat for strong/severe with any storms

I don't think its a deer tick. This doesn't have the shape of a tick. I will try and catch a photo when I am outside tomorrow somehow. But I just did a google search (didn't try before because everytime you put something into google, the result usually is you're going to die). Anyways, I found a photo someone posted on Facebook and this kind of looks like it. The comments are no help Since I am posting someone's finger, here is the link so they get credit https://www.facebook.com/groups/485390939752444/posts/1043588527266013/

hmmm I don't think so. they look like a super tiny worm. They're literally like the width of a finger nail. If I tired to take a pic of some, they're so small the camera can't focus to capture it lol

I do think we have to watch Wednesday for some strong storms, particularly south of the Pike, despite NAM showing zilch for QPF.

Has anyone seen these before? They’re incredibly tiny orange big/insect…whatever. Sitting outside and feeling random spots of itchiness and I’ll see a super small orange looking thing and I’m guessing they bite or something because I’ll have a tiny red bite mark. No clue where they are coming from or what they are. They’re like those tiny red bugs that leave a blood dot but these are orange and even smaller.

Obviously this isn't going to impact many posters here and the population density isn't as high, however, this potential is deserving of its own thread. The potential exists for a rather significant severe weather event either late Tuesday afternoon or evening/overnight across northern New England. Daytime temperatures are expected to climb well into the 80's within the region and probably some spot 90's with dewpoints pushing into the lower 70's. This combination under the presence of an elevated-mixed layer characterized by mid-level lapse rates on order of 7+ C/Km will result in an extremely unstable atmosphere with MLCAPE values pushing or exceeding 3000 J/KG. While the timing of this event may be more evening or overnight, instability values will drop off due to the loss of daytime heating, however, MLCAPE values should remain around 1500+ J/KG. With the region on the northern periphery of a stout mid-level ridge that is centered over the northern Plains, strong flow will overspread the region with 60-70+ knots of 500mb flow, aiding in the potential for bulk shear values exceeding 50 knots. In addition, a strong surface cold front will be diving south. The combination of instability and wind shear ahead of the approaching cold front will set the stage for the development of one, or perhaps multiple clusters or lines of thunderstorms across Quebec which propagate across northern New England late in the day or during the evening or overnight. Given the ingredients, the potential exists for a concentrated swath of damaging wind gusts (perhaps some significant wind gusts), and if any supercells develop there will be a risk for large-to-very large hail, and even the risk for a few tornadoes (though this is largely dependent on storm mode and whether surface winds can remain more southerly ahead of the front.

No trees left in the Greens Mountain's?

Wagons north for this potential

more like way, way north

We are going to get skunked next week ughhhhhh

yup...just caught that.

Same here. Watch it be so anomalous that it has the complete opposite effect of what we'd think and it results in historic cold/snow across the country

Gotta say...definitely impressive how the guidance for such an anomalous event have not backed down. About to have another impressive WWB too http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif EDIT: this is July not June

I don't think storm chances were ever particularly high for today. Always seemed more isolated

I still don't understand how ideas can be drawn on how a summer will be based on the concept of what *may* occur in terms of an ENSO event which is in the stages of development.

meh just a little warm

At WestConn we still had to use PowerPoint for our broadcasts because the school refused to pay for WSI and didn't care how important it was. I'm pretty sure they still use PowerPoint to this day.

It's going to be too much to ask to get something to time right in the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame, isn't it?

I can certainly imagine lol. Its interesting how the human brain works

Wish this concept was more easily grasp by the population

the headlines with severe weather are a joke. "Tens of thousands under the gun for severe weather". CNN and NY Post loves to do this. Then you have clowns like Ryan Hall and Max Velocity who have to use that headline and that have their stupid looking face making a stupid reaction in their thumbnails.

I really hope we can time an EML plume with the front next week but not looking particularly favorable right now...but we are a bit far out.

Made a comment on this a while back but isn't this sort of a product of the declining +AMO as we transition to a -NAO regime?