weatherwiz

We can only hope

IDK This really doesn't seem all that impressive nor does it look like it is going to evolve to be so. Just a good ole fashion steady, soaking rain. Highest totals probably end up coastal CT/Long Island. Congrats to the Fish in the Sound

Good point. Towards the end of last summer when I would take the cover off before using it I would have bees flying out from it

Looking like the max totals will def be towards the coast but probably nothing obscene. Probably some totals up around 4-5"...maybe someone gets 6"

Damn it, I forgot to cover the grill before bed last night after making burgers

I think I saw vortex95 mention this but the reflectivity gradient along the leading edge of those storms was about as textbook as you'll see for these parts, hell that would even be impressive anywhere else. Anytime you see a super strong wind signature like that I guess there is the risk for a brief spinup but I don't think there was anything really pointing towards a tornado or rotation. Velocity signatures on all radar sites was pretty evident with straight-line wind signatures and if you look at the environment, there really wasn't anything supportive for tornado formation. Just a textbook classic setup for straightline winds and widespread given the development of a cold pool.

The warm front may not even get into SNE at all. Very possible it sets up to where coastal CT across coastal RI and far SE MA get the highest totals (anything greater than 3-4").

idk...I would you would want to see more convective processes involved when talking about potential for these widespread excessive totals some of the short-term models are indicating. I can see 1-3" widespread and then probably a narrow zone where you get maybe 4-5" but that may be more isolated versus widespread.

I’d like to report High Noon sized hail

Great way to keep a drink cold

That was the area I wanted to go too if I didn’t have stuff today

The warning updated to say 2” observed

My brother lives there but towards the Farmington line. Missed the core by 3.5 miles. Did lose power briefly but no hail

Holy shit 2” hail confirmed

Can’t believe how bright it was. Still trying to figure if it’s from the Hartford stuff or Litchfield stuff. Anyways was enough to get people to start working inside

Holy shit. Sitting outside in Enfield well out ahead of anything and just saw a super bright flash of lightning. Scrambled to get everyone inside

Hearing thunder from the stuff around west Hartford

In Enfield and all the good stuff is going to be passing south booooo

We’ll definitely get some days where it’s much cooler (like early week) because we get fronts coming through but we will go back into above average temperatures. May not be upper 90’s to lower 100’s but will be lots of upper 80’s to lower 90’s days and probably 93-95 in the torch spots

This month is going to be quite above average.

Surprised the watch hasn’t eleven extended into western CT

COC is 99/74

Does anyone subscribe to weatherfront? I’ve been looking at that for quite a while. Been debating on doing the highest tier for radar scope for $100/year but weatherfront may be the edge given it has models

There almost needs to be a separate scale for the Northeast. The impacts are not equal to other regions. Sure other regions get the higher end severe and more significant, however, a you can get a squall line rip through the Northeast and result in >50,000 power outages and put that line of same strength through the mid-west and barely get 20,000 power outages. Lots of reasons for that obviously but impacts here can be greater just because of population density and trees and how the power grid is configured

Agreed. The more I dig into the changes and thought about it, the changes are a great positive. The number of moderate risk/high risk issuances should be reduced and only conserved for events that hold true significant and widespread potential. And for our area at least, we maybe get those type of setups with that potential maybe once every five years, if lucky. Probably closer to 1:7.