weatherwiz

Had some sleet earlier. Best part of it being icy tonight is I don’t have to travel to Branford tomorrow so that means I can watch the first period of this stupid 10:00 game tonight.

At least with nothing modeled we don't have to endure D10+ snowfall maps from 750 different models after every run

I'm talking more about saying an upcoming stretch looks boring or quiet or writing off an upcoming stretch just because a storm isn't popping up on guidance. I would definitely wait until we're closer to get super excited and hopeful, but right now we stand in a good spot...much better than looking at a ridge in the east

100% agreed

IMO, this is one of the best modeled looks we have had in several years. I really hate saying that because that's been said multiple times each of the last few winters but not only is there consensus in how the teleconnections trend and align but how they become structured. That period around Jan 15th...I find it extremely difficult to believe there would not be something around...unless we totally lose the look. But as long as we maintain this look I think we are going to have 2-3 storm threats within a 10 day period.

When you dig deeper into the model analysis it's a pretty encouraging look IMO and should have folks interests peaked. I get part of the "fun" is just whipping out SLP and snow maps to see something but you gotta look beyond those.

I'm not even all that upset about this weekends cutter, that system is going to be a big player and setting up the pattern behind it for mid and late January. I want to see things hold through the remainder of the week and on weekend guidance before truly becoming excited but it's great to finally see a look which is more conducive for amplifying northern streams with some southern stream involvement. That 13th-15th period and 17th-19th period is very close to producing something

Also those anomalies are probably heavily skewed from the few systems bringing brief anomalously warm temperatures through the midwestern states and even here potentially this weekend if that system does indeed cut like that

Not sure I agree with that post. If anything, much of those anomalies, particularly central states are probably driven moreso by overnight temperatures. But the pattern moving towards the 2nd and 3rd week of January is looking conducive for some coastal storm potential. I don't think that look has changed all that much over the past several days.

My sister had it a few weeks back, ended up in the hospital for 2-3 days. They told her she was lucky she went in when she did

was looking at MOS/NBM for BOS and then bufkit and holy crap...think MOS may be way overshooting, not just today/tonight but through the day tomorrow. BOS may hover right around freezing through much of tomorrow...maybe a case of rising to like 35 or so late in the afternoon but bufkit is quite cold there

snowing pretty good here...great snow growth, covered everything quickly.

I think you misread, he said continental view, not continental flow.

That almost looks too perfect

I don't think I'd consider 40's a torch either, even during peak winter climo, although probably for northern New England I would. I guess though getting above like 47-48 may be a different story.