calculus1

The afternoon update has reduced those storm-total precipitation forecasts in the NW piedmont of NC:

Latest storm total rainfall forecast from NWS GSP for their forecast area. So, far, I have 0.00 inch.

Brad P Update for his viewing area, in particular:

The 8:00 AM update does appear to have switched the NHC track to a more westerly than southerly track after landfall.

The intensity forecast has really diminished significantly. No sign of the "M" designation near the coast anymore. Current wind speed has dropped once again too. Down to 110 mph.

Well, landfall might be a touch north, but the overall track of the storm after landfall continues to head further and further south.

No, the path keeps heading south overall:

5PM Update (Edited):

11 AM cone and specs:

That is crazy! For perspective, that wave is approximately as tall as this building. Imagine standing at the base of this building and seeing a wave that tall approach you.

11PM update from NHC:

The 06Z HWRF has Florence coming ashore near Wilmington at 09Z on Friday morning. The center of circulation is then virtually stationary for almost 24 hours, just slowly drifting westward. 24 hours after that (09Z on Sunday), the center of circulation is just SW of Charlotte as it continues to meander to the west, all the while dropping copious amounts of rainfall across North and South Carolina. Wowza!

New advisory cone:

Brad Panavich's evening update on Florence:

Touche!

I'm pretty sure I don't want any piece of equipment that involves a rectal extraction. I'll just endure being without power, if that's the alternative.

You aren't the only one, Joaquin, but I appreciate you owning it. [emoji2] Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk

Can we not have people whining by saying they are ready for spring? That's a lie, and we all know it. They would take any little flake they can get whenever they could get it, as would we all. This board exists because of the eternal hope of snowfall in our backyards. It is incredibly dead in here during the dog days of summer. There are a few exceptions, but very few people visit here because of warm weather phenomena. You're all here for the snow, so stop bittercasting by saying you wish it would just go ahead and be spring. Come on, man!

Man, you continue to post the most disconnected stream of consciousness that I typically have no idea what you are saying. I think your intent is to say that global warming is bad and everything and everybody is going to die soon. If so, that's quite the bummer, but but it's hard to know for certain if that's what you mean. How can the globe be both "warming exponentially" and "regressing"? Or, are you saying that after we all die off the warming will cease? And, what's this about control and power? Are you suggesting we should encourage the extinction of the human race so as to save the planet? Then, you've got some crazy talk about interdimensional energy sources and the unconscious consciousness of the human mind. Just. Wow.

Ugh! Leeside minimum in full force with this one. Doesn't seem to be any way around it, unfortunately, no matter which model is your preference.

This is about the most annoying comment possible to write on a weather board. And, it's false. You don't really mean it. When it snows 6 inches in your backyards next month, you'll be glad it's not spring and have forgotten you ever said this.

I'm pretty sure we don't need to hear any more about your weenie urges. Please keep those to yourself. Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk

Wow, this sounds strangely familiar... Atmospheric healing at its best!

You're always winning, Mack.

I'm pretty confident that pack's been in a sweat spot for this entire event and for days leading up to it. Now, if he could only find the sweet spot... Seriously, this must be so painful that you can't help but try to find the humor in it. I was very confident that pack, CR, and the gang would get a decent snow out of this. It seems my confidence was misplaced, and you guys were right all along. I really am sorry that you're missing out on this one, as of yet. I still think it will eventually fill in and you'll each get an inch or more, but this waiting must seriously suck. There's no other way around it.