calculus1
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Everything posted by calculus1
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Just spitting snow here in NE Hickory. The heavier returns are just to my west. However, the motion of the precipitation seems to be shifting more SW to NE. Hopefully, I will get into more solid rates soon. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Light snow now in NE Hickory. Beautiful to watch fall. [emoji4] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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32.6/32 here in NE Hickory right now. A dusting to a half inch on every non-paved surface. It appears to be lightly sleeting right now. Eager for the ULL to crank up... Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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^ Six-ten inches of snow for Hickory? I hope DT is correct, but I'm not banking on that.
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Latest NWS GSP Probabilistic Snowfall Forecast:
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Agreed. That was an excellent discussion. Really interesting and informative.
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WSW wording. Everything but the kitchen sink possible.
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WSW accompanied with a new probabilistic snowfall map:
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Brad P's update. He breaks out the soil temperatures graphic!
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12Z GFSV16 appears to have legs for the early week system. Still evolving though...
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Here's the most recent meteogram for KHKY adjusted for 6:1 snow ratios (rather than the default 11:1). Based on this site, two inches or so also appears to be a good blend of the other models for my location.
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Recent SREF plumes for KHKY. I removed the highest three (each above 7 inches) and the lowest three outputs (each below 1 inch). That results in a mean of 4.17 inches for KHKY. Cut that in half, and two inches or so sounds about right for my locale, I would think. Let's see how it goes:
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That's living in the lee of the Apps... Argh! To be fair, the 3KNAM looked to have better potential for the lee than than did the 12K, but it ended at hour 60. Again, the onset of this event for areas outside the mountains continues to be delayed, while the duration may actually be lengthened a bit.
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NWS GSP's overnight thoughts...
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Is it just me, or does this event seem to have slowed down a bit? It now seems like the bulk of the precipitation will come during the daylight hours, according to the GFS this morning.
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Afternoon disco from GSP:
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Afternoon disco from GSP:
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I see what you did there...
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Yeah, I'll gladly take another half foot on Monday. =)
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Several of you have really wonky perceptions of where the mountains actually are in NC. A lot of the western piedmont of North Carolina (essentially north and west of Charlotte) actually do quite well on this model run of the ECMWF-HiRes. Plus, there is a decent snow signature in a horizontal line from Hickory to Raleigh. This looks pretty good to me, with round 2 just emerging for early next week.
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Well, we didn't quite make the century mark. We only nabbed 0.10 additional inch since the earlier post, making the month of December close out with 4.94 inches and 2020 close out with 99.46 inches. What a year...in soooo many ways. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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I am sitting on 99.36 total inches of rainfall this year, here on the last day of 2020. Can I wring out 0.64 inch prior to midnight? Fingers crossed... Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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What is your location? The Blue Ridge Escarpment is a large area. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Drove up to Blowing Rock to have a White Christmas this early afternoon. Sunny and 28 in Lenoir but snow squalls and 13 in Blowing Rock, a short 10 miles away. Roads were pretty bad up there too. It's amazing the difference in weather in that short distance. 30 back here at home in Hickory, which is an incredibly cold temp for 3 PM in the afternoon under full sun. Merry Christmas to all! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Dry slotted here, like normal. The cold didn't move in quickly enough. No precipitation left to wrong out of the atmosphere with the downsloping. [emoji3525] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
