calculus1
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Everything posted by calculus1
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850s and 925s are still below freezing above me, but I'm not sure how long that will last. Of course, the SPC pages are not matching with the really low temps that some of our mountain folk are currently reporting either.
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I'm stuck at 32.7/32. That's not gonna cut it for freezing rain. Of course, snow or sleet could still fall before the upper levels completely roast, but we will see...
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Ended up with a dusting. Beautiful to watch fall, but it didn't amount to too much. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Same here too in NE Hickory. Now 32.7/31. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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We've already got a cartopper here! [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Light snow in Hickory. 38.7/26 right now. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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RDPS/RGEM also bringing back frozen precipitation into the foothills and western piedmont of North Carolina on Monday. Interesting...
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NWS GSP current probabilistic forecasts:
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NWS GSP Winter Storm Watch:
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They referenced Davie in their discussion:
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You're probably looking at the more likely (though still debatable) Kuchera output rather than the 10:1 output that was posted above.
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...unless you are in the immediate lee of the Apps.
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Went hiking up to Rich Mountain Fire Tower yesterday on AT outside Hot Springs in Madison County. Snow on ground in spots from about 3200 feet and up. At top (3600 ft), up to four inches of snow still on the ground on the north slope of the mountain. The trail was actually quite icy at the summit. The views from the fire tower were amazing yesterday. No wind, clear blue sky, 360-degree views, snow visible on all the higher peaks in every direction. I love winter hiking. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Nice to see multiple threats show up on the 12Z GFSv16 today. Hours 138, 198, and 324 all show potential for snowfall in the SE. Different types of systems in each case, and still way out in the future, but they demonstrate what is possible when we have an active storm track and some blocking. I am excited about the possibilities...
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NWS GSP having fun this afternoon...
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Legit light to moderate snow now here in Lenoir. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Light flurries in Lenoir, NC! Seeing snow two out of four straight days is a win for non-mountainous areas. [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Just left an appointment in Lenoir, NC. I can report light flurries! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Regardless of Webb's maps, your forecast was the closest to verification of anyone's that I saw,@griteater . Much better than the TV mets and the NWS on this one, especially outside the mountains. Well done, sir. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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Also, no 3-inch totals in Lenoir. I have family that lives there, and I visited Saturday morning. Most of the snow was already gone by then, if not in shade. Maybe they had an inch, at best, prior to melting commencing. I would question anyone's measurement ability if they think they got 3 inches of snow in Lenoir, except perhaps on top of Hibriten Mt (the mountain with the lit star at Christmas). Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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I would also contend that no one in Hickory had an inch of snow. Two dustings (one at dawn and one at 4 PM) might add up to 0.5 inch, though. Baker's Mt in Catawba County did have between 1-2 inches, but not Hickory. Their elevation sure helped, I suppose. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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I now have nothing falling from the sky, but I managed to get a re-coating of the ground before it all stopped. I'm not sure to what two coatings add, but I'm going to call it a grand total of 0.5 inch for this storm (which I now assume has ended IMBY). That's a rather disappointing result when the winter storm warning was for 2-4 inches, and all I managed were two separate dustings, one at 7:00 AM and another at 4:30 PM. On the bright side, I did get to see it snow almost all day long, at varying degrees of intensity, but none greater than the 3:30 - 4:15 PM window.
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Yeah, it's been rippin' the proverbial fatties for about a half hour now. Easily re-coated all the grassy surfaces. If it would do this for a few hours, we might actually get to 2-4 inches, but I fear there's not too much time left here in Hickory. Earlier today has been steady light snow. This is finally moderate to heavy. It's been nice to see it all day, despite the lack of significant accumulation to this point. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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We can add Brad Panovich's Twitter feed to the whining thread. He's whining about why people are picking on him and how they don't listen. https://twitter.com/wxbrad
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Just light snow, off and on, here in NE Hickory. The ULL is going to have to produce some serious rates this afternoon for anything to accumulate. Temperatures at ground level are not conducive to accumulation otherwise. I thought@griteater was being a bit pessimistic in his final forecast, but he may prove to be too optimistic for all locations outside the mountains. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
