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Floydbuster

NO ACCESS TO PR/OT
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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. I have tracked enough of these things to know that you don't get a setup like this, with the odds of hyperactivity, and a Category 5 beast in early July just to have the rest of the season underperform. Its coming, big time. That switch is gonna flip so fast around August 18th to August 25th.
  2. We are getting super close to the flip of the switch and when it happens...watch out.
  3. https://x.com/NWSCLE/status/1812317615278440476
  4. I think there is a chance the winds could be bumped up to 85 or 90 mph in the final report. Those were some furious winds along the coast.
  5. I am actually a little surprised the NHC kept the intensity at 80 mph. Beryl is producing some nasty winds. Of course, strengthening storms can force more winds down to the surface than steady state or weakening ones.
  6. This looks like a much nastier strike for this area than Hurricane Nicholas was in 2021. Here is a 2am video update for anyone interested. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VCx6ibKtwzE
  7. Beryl looks a heck of a lot better organized than when I went to sleep at the 5am advisory.
  8. Got some good rain on July 4th but no storms.
  9. Yeah it will be fascinating to see if Beryl's smaller size allows it to crank back up faster after the Yucatan.
  10. Recon still showing a solid Cat 4. Definitely battling shear on satellite though.
  11. Oh I don't think that, at all. But the way the models dismissed Beryl as being a tropical storm near Jamaica is hogwash.
  12. There is still time for Beryl to weaken significantly due to the shear (remember, it is still July despite this unusual occurrence), but I am beginning to doubt the models that showed this thing falling apart to a tropical storm by the Cayman Islands and the Yucatan. I think we now need to know as the possibility that Beryl may be a more serious hurricane in the Western Gulf of Mexico than we have entertained the last couple of days. https://x.com/DylanFedericoWX/status/1808285217377210879
  13. Beryl actually doesn't look that bad, all things considered. It wasn't gonna be the Cat 5 beast it was leaving the Windwards, but it looks large enough to where its battling the shear well, so far.
  14. Wow Beryl is *much* stronger than I thought. I think we may be getting too bullish on weakening. It will likely weaken but at this rate, likely still a potent hurricane until the Yucatan.
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