I actually thinking moving north will help it. I think the SW quad is slightly crushed right now. Moving away further north could improve the ventilation.
Maximum Sustained Wind Overall (mph): 110Maximum Sustained Wind at Landfall (mph): 110Pressure at Landfall (mb): 954 mbLandfall Location: Morgan City, LA
There is a generation of spoiled hurricane kids who were born into a high-speed internet Katrina world. They didn't grow up like me checking out hourly tropical updates on the Weather Channel watching storms fail over and over in the 1990s.
Yep. It's odd watching the "storm cancel" weenies on the weather forums. They expected recon to find a 920 mb storm or something. LOL
I went to bed at 1:30am with absolutely no expectation to wake up to anything more than a Cat 1. I'm surprised so many on these weather forums anticipated more. Ida really shouldn't take off until tonight and Sunday. Now if it's still a Cat 1 in 24 hours, then that might mean a weaker storm.
That's my worry. That it dicks around long enough to blow up right before landfall. If it were a Cat 4 now, it'd definitely have time to weaken before landfall.
THIS. I never understood why the hoity toity crowd used to get their panties in a bunch over it. I grew up in the 1990s watching old documentaries like "A Lady Called Camille".
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.4N 80.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF GRAND CAYMAN
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
We could always hope for a Bret '99 situation, where maybe it strikes a very sparsely populated region like Padre Island or something. But that would have to pin the needle on the thread just right.
Waking up this morning to more disturbing model trends. The GFS has now consistently shown run after run, 99L becoming a major hurricane landfall in the Texas/Louisiana Gulf Coast region. The EURO also shows 99L becoming a significant storm, and shows another powerful Cape Verde hurricane approaching the Caribbean in about a week. The EURO has also shown this for a few runs now.
I'm reminded of when Harvey was nothing more than a wave in the Caribbean, yet models began consistently showing a major hurricane approaching the Texas coast. We could have a problem here.
I'm surprised the hype wasn't even more than it was, to be honest.
I think that Henri's biggest issue was the northerly shear being stronger than the models predicted from Friday night through most of Saturday. The way Henri looked Saturday morning on visible was reminiscent of Bob 1991 right when that storm cranked to 115 mph. Had Henri strengthened into a Cat 2 or even Cat 3, despite weakening, it would have been far worse. Thankfully that didn't occur.
I think we will see a few fish storms, but one or two may slide under the radar. Think 1998. We had several out to sea (Hurricanes Danielle, Ivan, Jeanne, Karl, Lisa) but Hurricane Georges slipped under the radar.