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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Good grief. This is atleast another Hortense, if not Maria-type disaster for Puerto Rico.
  2. Here we go. It's amazing how fast even a Cat 1 storm can knock the power out.
  3. This storm reminds me a lot of Hurricane Hortense in September 1996.
  4. 11:30pm Video Update on Tropical Storm Fiona for those interested
  5. Starting to feel more and more confident it will turn out to sea after impacting Hispaniola, but still far too early to take your eyes off her. Here's a video update for you night owls. https://youtu.be/JNZM0EZlfUY
  6. GFS is bull. A Cat 4 hurricane nearly stationary for 100 hours? Gimme a break.
  7. I don't know guys...the GFS run shows Fiona deepening from 1000 mb to 971 mb in 18 hours as it crosses Puerto Rico and the Mona Passage. I find that difficult to believe right now.
  8. Given how naked the center of Fiona is right now, I'd favor the weaker solution in the short term.
  9. EURO showing a hurricane landfall in SE Florida. Oops. Looking like it's starting to see the same setup the CMC is showing.
  10. Without that SW shear, this thing could be a hurricane fast. I'm still not buying the poleward movement in 96 hrs, especially not as abrupt as some of the guidance shows. Despite rounding the periphery of a ridge, a sheared tropical storm will always tend to move more west.
  11. Well regardless of development, the pattern favors impacts to land. I'd be surprised if this turns east of the Bahamas.
  12. Ugh I hate systems like this. Center reformations and not knowing if they'll end up in the Bahamas or the Gulf. Atleast it is something to watch.
  13. Thanks for the link. Yeah, things seem to light up on September 20-30th. Wouldn't it be ironic if the switch happened exactly one month after predicted?
  14. I never could find the link to that. I always just see the full EPS run with no individual members.
  15. I hope 95L becomes Fiona, even briefly. I don't like the name and I want to move on to Gaston.
  16. There almost seems to have been a shut off to the tropical wave train off Africa during July. You know how they come off far north, or hit a wall or shear, or fizzle into big ugly gyres? I didn't expect that pattern and I'm surprised it occurred. If they were moving faster and further south, they'd have a chance. Like the wave off Africa now, it seems to be stuck. What the hell is that about? Why isn't it progressing west at 15 mph?
  17. I'm surprised the models are not more enthusiastic with the wave that just left Africa.
  18. I'm expecting Western Caribbean activity in October. These youngsters are too spoiled. Some years have October storms like Keith or Lili. These spoiled hurricane trackers are used to Greek crap like Hurricane Zylor by September 25th.
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