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Floydbuster

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  1. Floydbuster
    Nah it's not gonna be a dud season. Alot of these youngsters have been spoiled by 20 named storm swirls by July 15th. I'm an old timer. (compared to them) I remember tracking the 2nd named storms "Bonnie" and "Bret" in '98 and '99 and they were still weeks away from where we are now. Plus, just 24 hrs ago, the GFS was showing a hurricane scraping the East Coast and then another hurricane headed for the Lesser Antilles. Yeah it dropped it, but still a sign of things to come.
  2. Floydbuster
    This is true, and I have often wondered "when will that happen again" when we don't see anything until August. Last time it happened in a memorable year was 2004.
  3. Floydbuster
    This is literally me everytime he posts:::
  4. Floydbuster
    06Z GFS has it scraping Cape Hatteras and making landfall near Martha's Vineyard on August 23rd as a powerful hurricane. 12Z is rolling out now.
  5. Floydbuster
    1999 still a good analog per CSU. I also remember tracking in the year 2000, and we had a very busy period with Hurricane Isaac (Cat 4 out to sea), Hurricane Joyce (poised to be a major Caribbean/GOM storm but fizzled near the islands) and Hurricane Keith (Devastating Cat 4 near Belize), and those were all around September 28-October 3rd.
  6. Floydbuster
    Yeah, I remember models showing a green blotch of about 1003 mb over the Bahamas for what eventually became a 185 mph hurricane named Dorian.
  7. Floydbuster
    I think we probably get Danielle sometime August 10-15th and my guess is it's similar to Hurricane Earl 2016 or Hurricane Franklin 2017, a Cat 1 minimal cane into the Yucatan/Mexico. Possible risk to northwest Gulf Coast. By the end of August, the switch flips and I think we start to see a fast burst of storms. One or two of them will be useless name wasters.
  8. Floydbuster
    I'll stick to my prediction of a major hurricane on August 28th. The previous poster said how unlikely it is, but usually by August 28th if we don't have a major hurricane, we have one about to form or in the process of strengthening. I also think the pattern favors more of an active October than we saw in 2004 or 2017, for example. I'm getting 1999 vibes with this season.
  9. Floydbuster
    So much premature naysaying here. I still think that switch will flip and once it does, the Atlantic will light up. In fact, I bet we have a major hurricane in the Atlantic basin one month from today.
  10. Floydbuster
    The slower motion *could* allow more time over water, but still only a moderate chance per the NHC.
  11. Floydbuster
  12. Floydbuster
  13. Floydbuster
    I think a Cat 2 is very possible down there. The waters are boiling and the models seem to show a good upper level environment. As long as it doesn't race too fast or get easterly shear.
  14. Floydbuster
    Interesting that some models are showing a system forming near Texas, maybe a weak tropical storm. If that occurs, that could affect the ridging above 94L by the time the system would be in the Central or Western Caribbean. Another thing to monitor.
  15. Floydbuster
    Bertha 2008 was a Cat 3.
  16. Floydbuster
  17. Floydbuster
    I remember Claudette in July 2003. A long tracked hurricane that never did much until the end. It slammed into Port O'Connor, TX as a 90 mph nastycane.
  18. Floydbuster
    Excellent!
  19. Floydbuster
    Dark and rainy here in Stow. No school closings yet.
  20. Floydbuster
    It's a whiteout right now in Stow, OH. Some of the heaviest snow I've seen this year, honestly! We're caught in a small snow band on radar.
  21. Floydbuster
    Lots of schools closed today. Lucky kids.
  22. Floydbuster
    So when are the long-range models showing another blast for NEOH?
  23. Floydbuster
    My sister measured about 9-10" in Cuyahoga Falls.
  24. Floydbuster
    This is gonna be one heck of a storm if this future radar holds true.
  25. Floydbuster
    Careful. Summit County Sheriff just issued a snow emergency.
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