Floydbuster

True. I was speaking for NE Ohio.

I'd prefer it earlier. I'd rather have it move out before Christmas Day.

Wow. Definitely different vibes than 24 hrs ago.

00Z GFS aggressive with snow totals in NE Ohio. Probably overdoing it, but still.

Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Cleveland OH 947 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022 OHZ009>011-013-019>023-PAZ003-221100- /O.CON.KCLE.WS.W.0007.221223T0600Z-221224T1500Z/ Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Geauga-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Crawford- Including the cities of Sandusky, Huron, Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Cleveland, Chardon, South Russell, Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Norwalk, Willard, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron, Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Meadville, and Titusville 947 PM EST Wed Dec 21 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Multi-hazard winter storm with a combination of strong winds, very cold temperatures, snow, and blowing snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. Wind chills values could be as low as 20 below zero. * WHERE...Erie, Lorain and Huron counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could severely impact the Friday morning commute and any holiday travel. Strong winds could cause tree damage. The cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A window of brief intense snowfall is expected with a cold front Thursday night. This front will bring a sharp temperature drop over a matter of a few hours, where temperatures above freezing will drop to the single digits by Friday afternoon. A flash freeze is possible with this occurrence. Winds will increase across the area early Friday, especially Friday night, and be the main hazard for the area with blowing snow also potentially causing hazardous travel. Strong winds could cause damage to trees, bring down power lines, and blow around unsecured objects. From Friday through Sunday, a period of almost 48 hours where temperatures remain in the single digits is possible. This combined with the strong winds would allow for a long period of wind chills well below zero and increase exposure risk and infrastructure concerns across the area. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$

Any around Lake Erie and Northern Ohio?

Anyone have any snowfall prediction maps?

Can someone explain to us non-winter weather weenies what the deal is with this storm? Not enough moisture to produce large accumulations?

If Cleveland/Akron winds up with 50-60 mph wind gusts and 5-8 inches of snow, that'll be one heck of a storm.

This is why I stick to hurricanes. Winter weather is much more confusing and touchy.

What's the trend for NE Ohio? Less snow? More snow? If those winds are gusting as strong as they say, the wind chills are going to be brutal.

Nice write-up, Steve. Everyone here is worried about ramifications on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 403 PM EST Mon Dec 19 2022 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-202115- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 19 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Active weather is expected Friday through the weekend. Widespread cold temperatures and strong winds are expected, with wind chills below zero likely. Accumulating snow is also possible. Stay tuned to the latest forecast as this wintry situation unfolds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ Cleveland NWS doesn't seem enthusiastic about accumulated snowfall.

000 WTNT62 KNHC 100800 TCUAT2 Hurricane Nicole Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022 300 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...NICOLE MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA JUST SOUTH OF VERO BEACH... Radar imagery from Miami and Melbourne shows the center of Nicole has made landfall on the east coast of the Florida peninsula on North Hutchinson Island just south of Vero Beach. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 75 mph (120 km/h), and the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 981 mb (28.97 inches). This will be the last hourly update given the degraded radar structure of Nicole. SUMMARY OF 300 AM EST...0800 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 80.4W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES $$ Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart

32 ft waves reported from the buoy off Cape Canaveral.

Unless it's a trick of the eyes, I see a more northwest wobble the last hour.

This is a rare event. I believe Nicole will be one of only three November hurricanes to strike Florida in 100 years.

10:30pm EST Video Update https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WFEdiLeNTU

Reminds me of when Frances had a large ragged eye on the east coast back in 2004. Not nearly as strong, of course.

Nicole will strengthen over the Gulf Stream, especially with the tighter core.

11am video for those interested https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTYA6J2897s

I found them on google images. Trust me, I'm the exact same way. I used to spend hours and hours going through those Unisys tracks. I miss them.