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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. I remember many systems like this 20 years ago that would wait until the Western Caribbean and Gulf before developing. Barry 2001, Claudette 2003, Grace 2003, ect. Now they all seem to move straight into Central America. The only system that really did something similar to those was Hurricane Hanna in 2020.
  2. Agree, but with CSU going with 9 hurricanes and 4 majors, I'm venturing to guess that they think the +AMO will win out and enough storms will find good environments. Otherwise I assume they wouldn't have gone with such high numbers of hurricanes and major hurricanes. I assume nobody has any idea. We just have to wait and see.
  3. Verbiage from many of the pros on Twitter is that we're in for another busy hurricane season just around the corner. Interesting contrast from the El Nino slow-season predictions from others. I guess we'll know in the next 8-10 weeks!
  4. CSU really thinks we're gonna have a burst of August/September activity that drives the numbers up high. It's amazing how fast some indicators have changed showing that we might actually have an active season.
  5. Gust to 69 mph in St. Lucia. Pretty impressive for a quickly weakening sheared storm. Here's this evening's video update:
  6. It's funny that Bret looks great and is over-performing, and yet the long term prospects seem to have dwindled tonight. I've seen it happen before. In 2015, Hurricane Danny went from a Cat 3 east of the Lesser Antilles to a dissolved wave in the Eastern Caribbean. Even still, I'm surprised how bullish everyone seems about Bret's demise.
  7. Unless it's a weird El Nino plus major positive AMO type thing to where it's gonna turn off suddenly in September.
  8. I'm actually quite surprised at how favorable things look ahead compared to other early systems. It's not ideal but far from complete obliteration like Danny 2015.
  9. I remember Claudette in early July of 2003. Developed into a strong TS/minimal Cat 1, quickly died in the Eastern and Central Caribbean, but found it's way back in the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico and struck Texas as a 90 mph hurricane. I always am wary of systems like Bret because even if it "dies" in the Eastern Caribbean, that doesn't preclude it returning and striking land further west as a stronger system down the road.
  10. Sucks. Thankfully it's a less populated area, but still.
  11. Thankfully from what I'm reading on twitter, the radar looks much scarier than what seems to be happening on the ground.
  12. Nasty storm, definitely a lake runner though. Should run through Vermillion and Lorain.
  13. Definitely a more dry summer. I notice every time rain is forecast, the percentages become lower and lower the closer we get to the forecast day. I love it though. I want hot, sunny and dry.
  14. It's amazing how much Ian was like Charley. The track, the exact landfall point, the exact landfall intensity. The only difference was time of year. Charley was a fast, speedy, tiny little furious early/mid-August hurricane. When Ian struck it was nearly October.
  15. Quite a nasty little strike. Roads were very treacherous near Akron area around mid-afternoon.
  16. Lost power for around 9 hours! Had to go down the street to my sister's house to have warmth. Nasty storm.
  17. I’m debating whether or not to call off work this afternoon. I’m still without power here.
  18. My mom is in Medina County and she said she plans on "waking up early and going to the grocery store". I tried telling her how bad it should be in the early morning hours and she said "They've been wrong before." For the sake of the weather community, I hope NE Ohio is buried tomorrow. Bah-humbug.
  19. 4-6 inches with those insane winds and sub-zero wind chills could make tomorrow a nightmare.
  20. Future radar shows the snow line cutting through the state overnight.
  21. Funny thing is here in Ohio, we seem to expecting a bit worse than we were thinking earlier.
  22. Does anyone have a time estimate for the exact temperature drop throughout Eastern Ohio? I almost want to stand outside to experience it, if indeed it happens within just a few minutes. The GFS shows it around 12-5am Friday morning.
  23. My local NWS forecast near Akron, OH has heavy snow earlier than before. Emphasizing Thursday night more than Friday mid-day.
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