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Everything posted by Floydbuster
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4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Southward adjustments. Better for northern and northeast Ohio. -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thankfully the moderate was shifted south slightly more away from Northeast OH where I live. In fact, I'm on the edge of marginal, slight and enhanced now. The local NWS in Akron actually removed the words "severe" from our forecast and replaced with "showers and thunderstorms". Probably not expecting the warm front to drape as far north as some thought 24 hrs ago. Here's hoping that continues and isn't as bad for those higher risk areas down south. -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It doesn't help that there is so much hyperbole (and I never use that word) on social media. I have had a few text messages from Clevelanders thinking F5 twisters are going to level Cleveland, Akron and Youngstown tomorrow. I had to explain to them that the threat was almost all south of the area, and that there was still uncertainty. Today's (Monday) hype was quite possibly the most I've ever seen for a severe weather event, at least for Ohio. -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Kentucky/Tennessee? Maybe? -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Twitter is discussing how models are trending down for Central OH, and really for the whole event trending less intense. -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Twitter world seems to be saying that models are adjusting to a slower moving system with most energy closer to the IN/OH/KY three-corners region. Expect adjustments. -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
That sucks, man. Sorry to hear that. Hopefully any bad ones stay south of you. You'll be close to the line. Anything will probably be south of 71, but hopefully it stays further south than that and you avoid nasty stuff. -
4/1-4/2 severe threat (southern portion of subforum)
Floydbuster replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
My twitter feed is filled with Southern OH chasers crying that the SPC didn't move it further north. I think the rain ahead will limit instability, especially further north. Perhaps there's a slight chance some stronger storms make it as far north as Columbus and Zanesville, but I think the line will arch east-southeast and that's why the SPC is more focused on Kentucky. -
Looks like some slight snow potential on Wednesday, but things *could* be clear my Monday April 8th for the eclipse.
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2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I mean "springtime" figuratively speaking. Most people consider "springtime" pretty much Valentine's Day to Memorial Day. March has flown by. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I agree, and when I see people who want tornadoes in Chicago hyping what would likely be a severe event for Arkansas and Tennessee, it's cringey. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm a hurricane guy so I'm not seasoned in severe weather and I don't storm chase but these people are drooling and begging for a severe event. Spring is flying by and they're going bonkers. It's actually quite annoying. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
My whole Twitter feed is insane. So many fan-created "risk" maps that show their "dream" severe scenarios. It's hard for me to differentiate between actual SPC maps and teenage kids with their wishcasting. Nevertheless, it is definitely something to watch especially for the south and mid-Atlantic. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thank God your family is alright. Here's hoping we luck out and avoid severe weather as much as possible the next few months. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
While I agree with the sentiment, this event (from my point of you) didn't look that impressive until late afternoon. I'm still surprised by how powerful some of these twisters were in western Ohio. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I have to say, I did *not* expect Western Ohio to take such a tornadic strike. I didn't think it was quite warm enough for the clash with the front to produce these kinds of twisters that they experienced in Indiana and Western Ohio today. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I'm shocked there are that potent of storms out west. Here in NEOH Summit County I just went for a walk outside and there was a chill in the air, definitely didn't feel like muggy springtime instability. -
2024 Short/Medium Range Severe Weather Discussion
Floydbuster replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This pattern is tiring folks out here in Northern Ohio week after week. It's like every two weeks it's the same thing. First we get beautiful weather, then a cold front ruins it but stresses us all out thinking we're gonna have bad storms. Then they usually aren't half as bad as the local mets think (atleast near Cleveland area), and then it's cold for a week. Rinse and repeat. -
Our Cleveland mets forecast seem off this morning. They showed the potential for heavy storms/precipitation around this time and it's quiet as a mouse on the entire radar of the whole state of Ohio. My guess is that this event is much further south and not as significant as expected. The severe weather folks on Twitter were going crazy and I thought it was a bit too much hype. The forecast models simulated radar showed what is currently near Evansville would be 10x worse and over Mansfield at this time. I don't know what implications this may have on the forecast the next 24 hrs for Northern or Central Ohio.
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Thank you for the response. The "app" I showed is typing "Cleveland Weather Hour by Hour" into google. The other apps are the "weather" apps that people have on their I-Phones. Of course, I use the official NWS website and read the advisories, but of course I'm far more seasoned in tropical weather and hurricanes despite living in the snowy midwest.
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That's what I'm saying as well. Everyone is acting as if the entire area is in for a wild ride, and I actually don't think it'll be that bad. Last Friday, before the switchover to rain and gusty winds, we had a good 2 inches fall in about an hour and a half. Compare that to perhaps 4 inches in 2-3 days time? That's nothing to me. I certainly think they could have higher accumulations near the lakeshore, but further south, probably not nearly as much. Also, everyone has been very confused because we have local weather apps on phones showing no more than 30% chance of precipitation here and there the next two days, yet we have a Winter Storm Warning issued warning people to prepare for "5 to 10 inches" of snow. Lots of conflicting forecasts. Look here...Cleveland weather Friday and Saturday.... Friday shows no more than a 50% chance of precipitation around 8am this morning for Cleveland, tapering off. Then on Saturday, it tapers off further to 0%. How the hell does Cleveland get 5-10 inches of snow Friday and Saturday from near zero precipitation chances? Anyone wanna help me out on this one?
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People are hyping this one up big time. Nearly every school in Northeast Ohio is closed for Friday. Color me skeptical. I think this snowfall is being vastly overestimated.
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Let’s talk winter!! Ohio and surrounding states!!
Floydbuster replied to Steve's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Thanks for the link. Yeah, stronger winds certainly hit closer to the lakeshore. The two strongest gusts here near Akron were 51 and 54 mph both gusts within less than twenty minutes of each other around 4:30-5am Saturday morning. I guess what made it a little better (atleast down here) was that it wasn't a constant roar with gust after gust after gust. -
Let’s talk winter!! Ohio and surrounding states!!
Floydbuster replied to Steve's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Really? Wow! I'm down in Southern Summit County and it wasn't near that bad. -
Let’s talk winter!! Ohio and surrounding states!!
Floydbuster replied to Steve's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Welp, that was interesting. Here in NE Ohio, everyone I know lost power bad during the straight-line wind thunderstorm that blew through in late August of last year. The forecasts showed winds gusting 50-60 mph, and we have been on edge since Thursday. Every single person I talk to says they're "done with snow and winter", and I personally detest winter weather, so we were happy that we had no snow accumulation. I should note, we had a quick 1-2 inches in an hour around 4pm Friday night before turning to rain and melting away. Thankfully, it's past us, so now we just get some arctic air. Overall, the local mets hype about winds didn't get *quite* as bad as we had been fearing. For those more seasoned in winter weather than myself, was the storm weaker than expected? Did the winds underperform in NE Ohio or was it what you guys expected?