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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. My plan is to do the same this fall. I think I may have to mix some peat in to get the soil away from alkaline. I'll just some soil tests first, but I'm pretty sure that's a big issue for me.
  2. Record May in fact. 95.8" 6th snowiest month up there period.
  3. Sounds like some serious neglect on the part of dam owners. Were told repeatedly to increase the capacity of the spillways and never did it/slash tied it up in courts. I don't know their exact probable max flood threshold, but they are usually a 1/1,000,000 of occurrence in a given year (very conservative for a reason, since the high risk dams can kill people if they give way). They argued that the chances of that happening in the next 5-10 years was 1/5,000,000-10,000,000 (for some reason adding the yearly occurrence together). The true chance of a PMF happening in the next 5-10 years is actually 1 - (the chance that the PMF doesn't occur in 5 or 10 years in a row). They were also cited for not being able to even contain a half PMF. So the true probability is more like 1/50,000 instead. What's a 100-fold error between friends?
  4. First round in on Saturday at Belgrade Lakes. Normally my crap posture means I fat my shots early in the year, but my big miss was topped shots all day. 52 on the front then resorted to G&Ts and managed 3 pars on the back, actually 3 of the last 5.
  5. It was tough timing because the line was through by the time ALY would launch a balloon, and GYX was firmly in the marine influence by then. But model forecasts across southern NH were like 45 knots 0-3 km shear. Which gives you a lot of wiggle room for mesovortices.
  6. Honestly the models handled it pretty well. RAP forecast soundings have MVL pounding snow right now. Pretty isothermal up to 2500-3000 ft, but cools that layer quickly from 23 to 00z on the forecast soundings. So you drop a bunch of aggregates into the near surface isothermal zone and you cool from melting down to freezing. Great stuff.
  7. Ekster and I getting ready to hammer latent cooling in late season events at our office workshop Wednesday.
  8. You can actually see the bright banding disappear as the column cools. The simulated reflectivity since yesterday was actually showing this transitioning to a small CCB as it departs tonight.
  9. Poor Wiz, his marginal risk got hijacked by snow...
  10. My fingers are crossed for you, that would be an awesome spot for several offices!
  11. I want it closer to EEN or LEB to be honest.
  12. We do. Honestly if it weren't for the neighbors who dropped sod across the street, I might have salvaged the best lawn on the street so far. We were all in pretty rough shape year one though.
  13. First mow today. It's green, and good in some spots, but I've got my work cut out for me. I've always had a lot of white clover because of the very basic contractor landscaping that took a while to germinate. Seeing a lot more crab grass this year than last, or maybe it's just more obvious now that the good parts of the lawn are trying to fill in. Also as the neighborhood has filled in with houses the drainage has definitely changed in subtle ways, and a very damp side yard has seen a lot of horsetail spouting. I think my main motivation for mowing today was to eliminate these things from going to seed/spore and some spots were unsightly tall. My young lilacs look to be doing all right though, with at least one showing some signs of flowering this year (I was expecting at least another season without). The hydrangea are really leafing out now, spirea just popped buds this week, peonies really survived the winter well (probably going to triple the number of flowers this season). Projects this week will hopefully include an overseed, maybe aerating (I think my soil is too compacted which gave the weeds the best chance), and edging my flower beds with pavers.
  14. Posted this in Wiz's severe thread to give him a hard time, but Maine is going with limited golf on May 1. I assume that means no sharing golf carts, but for us walkers that should mean no real changes. Now the fact that I haven't swung a club since early February may be more of a problem.
  15. Only 2 more days until we can golf again in Maine! Oops, wrong thread.
  16. Best way to get over winter is get a storm under you?
  17. I like it. Load it up with drinks, snacks, music. Plus by the end of the 18 carrying I was usually way too gassed on a July day to keep a good round going.
  18. I found a pretty slick and easy design online that require a few 2x4s and some cedar fence pickets. It's something I can throw a cover over to protect it from the elements too. Excuse for dad to hang out in the garage with his beer?
  19. That was a really tough forecast to actually put into digital form. I can only get so many of the pixels right when we're hanging right around the cutoff for accumulation.
  20. Rates, temps, and elevation. Honestly was more impressive with the wind over performing than anything.
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