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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Dropped a warning on you.
  2. OceanStWx
    I wouldn't say that AFD went wild, but it describes a model that went wild. I'm just not all in on a NAM 3 km solution.
  3. OceanStWx
    Yeah, I would like to see the 00z HREF start honking more if there is any hope at an upgrade. Right now looking more like isolated severe.
  4. OceanStWx
    That's what my practice swing always looks like. I honestly think 90% of my problems could be solved with a "slow back and accelerate through" but I tend to accelerate back and overswing. I know I'm doomed when I can see the club head out of my left eye cross the plane at the top of my backswing (I'm right handed).
  5. OceanStWx
    Is this for E Mass trying to steal your snow?
  6. OceanStWx
    Closed it, but I think the max I saw was MVL with 12.
  7. OceanStWx
    Average 3, median 4 at BML 4 and 4 for MVL.
  8. OceanStWx
    Probably going to get a solid rain band lift north tonight. Some will get a good drink, some may only get around a quarter. Definitely not a widespread flash flood look.
  9. OceanStWx
    I literally have no idea how this even happens. The forecast (from pretty much every outlet I've seen) has been no big deal the entire time. Maybe, maybe there was messaging about flash flood risk early one, but that was pretty quickly changed to localized threat.
  10. OceanStWx
    BTV has more than twice as many hours above 90 degrees as BDL. So considering your elevation, BTV probably has you by 3 maybe 4 times.
  11. OceanStWx
    We've actually capped our surface temp from pressure level at 25C at 850 mb.
  12. OceanStWx
    I prefer the lakes, but there's something to be said for the beaches if you're trying to escape the heat (which is likely how those old family homes originated).
  13. OceanStWx
    That's the key, and why I'd watch the coast near NJ if it tucks just inland. Could be enough 0-3 km CAPE to get it done, but timing doesn't look great for New England.
  14. OceanStWx
    They just need deep tropical convection to sustain them, so TC strength isn't a necessary factor. With this event I would personally like to see a better upper jet to really get that moisture transport going.
  15. OceanStWx
    Dammit, someone noticed. You can't make fog dense (F+) when you have drizzle unless you make both + (e.g. L+). I just noticed it on my last updated and dropped all drizzle. While technically you could have heavy drizzle, I think it sounds stupid.
  16. OceanStWx
    Nearly gave myself heat stroke today, but I dragged myself around 18 walking. 50 back (teed off 10) and 41 front.
  17. OceanStWx
    Solid drizzle all day at my place with some heavier showers every now and then. 3.66" event total.
  18. OceanStWx
    You have any reports out of naples? Had some hail of unknown size in Denmark, but that's it so far. I don't see any reason for it to fall apart completely. Better CAPE/shear is east. I think the composite radar look of individual cells is mostly because it's far from all radars and you're just seeing the tallest towers.
  19. OceanStWx
    What's the question?
  20. OceanStWx
    FFW soon? MRMS lighting up.
  21. OceanStWx
    The D in DCAPE stands for damage.
  22. OceanStWx
    How'd you hack into SPC's system?
  23. OceanStWx
    Probably closer to BDR, but in reality the true warm front is south of LI (you've got more of an outflow boundary). Oh, and https://www.nwcg.gov/term/glossary/wetting-rain
  24. OceanStWx
    What was the final verdict on 0.25"?
  25. OceanStWx
    You know what doesn't make spring any better in New England? Global pandemics.
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