Jump to content

OceanStWx

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    19,778

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    You can even see it really surge out now that it hit the lower friction Sound.
  2. OceanStWx
    This is probably the most important point. It's probably going to need to do it soon if it's going to reach Cat 5, because the deep core convection is starting to interact with land and shear is increasing on the west side. They've got flights in there until landfall though, so we should know with a fair amount of certainty if it does or not.
  3. OceanStWx
    Yeah it's far away, but it's still at the upper end of what has been sampled on radars before. Not playing around with this one.
  4. OceanStWx
    There is definitely a bias towards the CAPE side since that's the easy one to get over the threshold, but overall it does a fair job for areal coverage.
  5. OceanStWx
    You would need an area of 45% hatched winds, which is probably a little too much to ask out of this event. I could see 45% wind, but hatched may be a stretch.
  6. OceanStWx
    I'm not entirely surprised to see that composite go high. All guidance agrees on one thing: where the warm front settles will be a focus for severe weather. They differ a little on placement, but the evolution is quite consistent.
  7. OceanStWx
    In fairness, the "unsurvivable" is coming directly from the NHC. You can argue whether that's hype or not, but it's not the result of media blowing it out of proportion. I would say it's a pretty small list of NWS offices this vulnerable to storm surge.
  8. OceanStWx
    Even that inverted BDL sounding still has 1100 J/kg MUCAPE available.
  9. OceanStWx
    It's a tough set up, not really a broad threat area but concentrated near the warm front wherever it ends up. Check out the differences between BDL and JFK. Neither of those is going to pop storms.
  10. OceanStWx
    5.25" according to his CoCoRaHS reports.
  11. OceanStWx
    Eventually got 0.29" out of yesterday's storms (another 0.18" today), but when it first started building overhead the drops were so big and infrequent it was actually evaporating off the patio faster than it was falling.
  12. OceanStWx
    LEW hit 34 knots so at least you aren't being a
  13. OceanStWx
    Same thing happened to me (after the bastards got me and the mower). Fired off a can of raid into the swarm origin point and sometime in the next 48 hours something found the free meal and dug up the rest of the nest.
  14. OceanStWx
    I kind of feel that way about all my home improvement projects. Front walkway? Deck? Solar panels?
  15. OceanStWx
    You'll find advice both ways, but the key is your interest rate. If you can earn more return by investing than the interest rate on your debt, you should invest.
  16. OceanStWx
    No hazard pay for the sweaty kids in June either.
  17. OceanStWx
    Awkward to handle for sure.
  18. OceanStWx
    Phone lines went down and that's usually how we get ASOS obs out. 50+ knots for 30 minutes and counting.
  19. OceanStWx
    I believe AWG was 126 mph in the June 1998 derecho.
  20. OceanStWx
    They are one of the best counties at reporting storm damage too.
  21. OceanStWx
    Someone's backyard station measured 106 mph east of Marshalltown.
  22. OceanStWx
    Mesovortices in QLCS type events is a result of line normal bulk shear in the 0-3 km layer. If you can get 30+ knots of shear normal to the line, they are likely to form. Sometimes they result in tornadoes if other ingredients are in place, but more often just enhance wind locally due to pressure perturbations.
  23. OceanStWx
    Unless policy has changed the QCA has siren activation at 70+ and many surrounding towns had begun to adopt it.
  24. OceanStWx
    Looks like another formed near MIW (causing the 99 mph gust) and now a new descending RIJ has bowed out the line up there. And the new cells are forming because you've still got some nocturnal LLJ riding up and over the cold pool, which at this point is pretty large.
  25. OceanStWx
    It looks like that gust was part of a mesovortex that formed a little north of town. Probably locally enhanced the wind, but looks like it has also set off a new descending RIJ that is now bowing the line out in the area between I-80 and Highway 30.
×
×
  • Create New...