OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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We had a 52 mph at 6 am labeled York, which I'm guessing is the Nubble Light ob.
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There was a lot of hype and it was hard to stare down that LLJ and trust the forecast was on track, but I'm glad I didn't expand headlines.
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Truro tickled 93 mph (currently sustained 58 gusting to 83).
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81 mph at that station.
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HRRR has GHG with 70+ mph gusts for 6 consecutive hours starting 04z.
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LLJ definitely spends more time over your fanny than ACK.
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I gave you a number for ORH you clown
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I mean 80s look pretty good considering the core of the jet isn't forecast to really hammer down until 03-06z there.
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They had a peak wind gust just after 11 am of 48 knots (55 mph).
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CWOP in Truro 71 mph
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Their website has their Davis obs current, but I'm not getting it into AWIPS.
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Gusting to 40 mph right now, and still have several hours until the worst of it arrives.
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Inversion is a little stronger than modeled at GYX based off the 18z runs. NAM is probably the closest (a hair stronger than observed) but still rips off a few 35 kt gusts at the office.
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Starting to see the dunes gusting over 50 knots. I see a 56 kt out there.
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Given the strength and angle of that LLJ, I feel like Blue Hill is primed to rip off a big gust.
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Messing around with available guidance I think they have a shot to go over. I'd peg their peak wind gust around 47 knots if I had to pick a number right now.
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I think over.
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This is a situation where I hope the RAP soundings are a little overmixed (as is its bias) because otherwise they show some real nasty potential (like October 2017).
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ISON3 and MDRM1 C-Man stations along the coast are already gusting above 40 kt. They should be cranking over 60 kt gusts by 03z tonight.
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Euro/Eta combo there.
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No joke. That's a wild run.
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I think a lot of the interior is likely to do better when the CAA kicks in Wed and erodes the inversion, winds go north.
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Scooter blown to South Weymouth?
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I actually think for those near the track of this meso low that it could be some "holy shit, what just happened?" while outside of that path it's just a typical strong nor'easter. The Cape forecast should be three buns hanging off the flagpole.
