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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Could be a lot of reasons for this. Small sample size altering perception, more rigorous surveying, etc. As you say, I do think a lot of the rest of it can be explained by higher dewpoints and/or nocturnal temps.
  2. OceanStWx
    1030 am MCD.
  3. OceanStWx
    Especially SNE it looks like the cold front undercuts the convection. Gradually it seems the HRRR wants to keep shear/cold pool balanced up across NNE, and actually a little nastier across ME than previous forecasts. Still a little skeptical because of the clouds.
  4. OceanStWx
    We talked it over with SPC this morning and agreed that holding off on enhanced is the best decision right now. There are a lot of ingredients in place for damage™ but there is also a lot of low cloud cover and it's late in the season to mix that out quickly. RAP soundings have things mixing out by 15-16z which gives us another chance to take a look before the 1630z update.
  5. OceanStWx
    Maybe even some of the tornadoes.
  6. OceanStWx
    Bunch of PWSs reporting in that range. There was some narrow training convection earlier this afternoon that did it.
  7. OceanStWx
    That's tough. North Windham has 1.5 to 2.5 so far.
  8. OceanStWx
    The man stuff in on the Cape.
  9. OceanStWx
    How about never?
  10. OceanStWx
    I do worry that the heavy showers over GYX now can trace back to that stuff in MHT. That might be the weenie zone.
  11. OceanStWx
    It looks like mostly a standard soaker, but I am a little concerned that jet forcing is rather stationary aloft until late tomorrow night. Various models have hinted at that narrow band of really big QPF numbers, and I think that could be legit. Something on the equatorward side of the 500 mb jet.
  12. OceanStWx
    Gust to 70 mph and a TDS in the ALB area.
  13. OceanStWx
    Anyone on the lake that didn't get back in time might've had a wild ride. Good microburst signature a little while ago with 72 knots at 300 ft.
  14. OceanStWx
    It's a 50,000 BTU inverter system, with the latest Mitsubishi models inside. The outdoor unit is capable of heating down to -13 without back up and 100% efficient into the single digits. Honestly not that common locally anymore, maybe a handful of days get below 0 and 15 or so around 5.
  15. OceanStWx
    Not to mention a stalled boundary to the north near Tennessee.
  16. OceanStWx
    I'm actually blown away by how how efficient they are. Even when the sun gets behind the house (I only have them on the front) the panels are still putting out some kW well into the evening.
  17. OceanStWx
    I'm only two months in, but same deal here. Panel payment replaces electric bill. We had switched to heat pumps at the same time so we never really had to suffer the high electric bill.
  18. OceanStWx
    They are the eagles. I'm not surprised the pines down there took a beating
  19. OceanStWx
    Barrington
  20. OceanStWx
    That was a long bus ride in high school. There be dragons.
  21. OceanStWx
    A little mesolow (probably a small shortwave within the upper trof) spun around Henri's circulation. That was actually pretty well modeled.
  22. OceanStWx
    I mean he's been hyping New England getting flattened since I was volunteering at WPRI in high school.
  23. OceanStWx
    My only gripe is they use Chariho in the headline but then list the towns backwards in the article.
  24. OceanStWx
    That did get farther north in the end that I was anticipating.
  25. OceanStWx
    Not doubting the tornado, but that velocity on that one volume scan just looks like a data artifact to me. Bigger issue is that all the shear is in the lower levels, so the radar is probably overshooting the best of it.
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