CAR does their 10/2 foliage picture every year. And there are differences on the specific date, but overall most years are pretty similar. Warmer than normal definitely holds peak off like 2015, but dry can lead to early drop like 2020.
My favorite swamp maples on the way to work starting hinting in late August like they always do. They are really starting to turn color now and typically they are peaking around my birthday which is next week. So we even seem to be on track around here.
Yeah I seriously took up the game in 2008 when I got my first "real" job and could afford clubs. The immediate impact of playing semi-regularly was being able to break 100 within the year, but it took my 4 years before I broke 90 and not until the end of my 5th and really 6th seasons when I was consistently between 80-89. 8 years to crack 80.
Two kids later and we grind into the low 90s.
Of course the color change is triggered mainly by changes in sunlight (which won't differ) and the vibrancy of the color is what is mostly affected by weather conditions.
Congrats to the chicken coop!
Actually goes to show how difficult it can be to draw up polygons sometimes. Based on new cells popping up and the line starting to drag on the south end, Brian (or nearby) ends up in 5 or 6 warnings but doesn't see much to write home about.
Not entirely shocked about Maine, but NH surprises me a bit.
Goes to show you how fine a line it is between destablization and run of the mill boomers.
I'm very interested in the cells from Saratoga to Rutland.
Especially the one near Rutland. Great shape to it and the ZDR/KDP separation angle is nearly perpendicular.
Really interesting VAD wind hodograph from ENX. That sickle look in the lowest km is well known for tornadoes (indicates a sharp turning of winds in the low levels). Now this is using SCH as an approximation for surface winds, so caveats there. But if this is something close to reality a few TORs issued today seems reasonable.
I think if forecast low level winds weren't quite as parallel to the boundary they would be considering it. Going to need some of these sections of the line to really bow out to have a QLCS tornado threat.
Could be a lot of reasons for this. Small sample size altering perception, more rigorous surveying, etc.
As you say, I do think a lot of the rest of it can be explained by higher dewpoints and/or nocturnal temps.