OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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I want to know what the dewpoint was over Kevin's great great great grandfather's wheat field.
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The 30 year number was chosen because it is long enough to smooth out short term fluctuation from patterns (ENSO, volcanic eruptions, etc), but also short enough to capture real changes to an area's climate. If you used the entire data set for normal, it's just going to be a trend line up towards warmer. If you use smaller chunks you can catch time periods that may have cooled or been wetter. It also is the WMO standard.
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New England Winter 2024-25 Bantering, Whining, and Sobbing Thread
OceanStWx replied to klw's topic in New England
I don't know for sure, it could either be equipment (unsheltered for instance) or siting (not 2 m for instance). Also, let's bring back the umlaut in Coos. -
Your snow pack sublimate flake by flake?
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I mean the Tarmac torches all the way to KTOL (in the summer) but they did four straight days in the teens that December.
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When the radiators mount up, I'm not sure I want ASH in my posse, but I do always go lower than guidance.
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It's sneaky. Routinely 4ish degrees colder than Manch-vegas.
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With winds gusting over 30 kt, I would say you would need a larger temp difference than this to get sea smoke as tall as the picture shows. 30 degrees is about the minimum I would want to see to have it obscuring visibility with winds like this. But the CC shows the rain/snow line south of the buoy location from the MOB 88D.
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Speaking of the Gulf of Mexico, it sure looks like it is snowing 45 miles offshore. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42012
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We await further guidance on that. What makes it extra ridiculous is that it is only the continental shelf waters of the US to the seaward boundaries of Mexico and Cuba. So it's like less than half of the Gulf of Mexico would change names, and the rest stays the Gulf of Mexico.
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SNINCR 2/3 at MSY.
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The best we can do is a 1 km by 1 km grid. Just ask @alex, pretty sure his forecast grid goes from like 1500 ft to 2700 ft.
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I was definitely on the southern end of the dry air up by @tamarack. Between the bands @dendrite and @tunafish were in. I can see the weenies on CoCoRaHS though. We have the same liquid but everyone is an inch higher on snow.
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Not often I get beat that bad by the “Jetport”
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Final total of 4.6” on 0.36” liquid. As we expected.
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Start times are different. This one is 7 am to 7 am, the other is 7 pm to 7 pm.
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A little more than I thought 7.7”
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High end advisory/low end warning is going to double my season total. No complaints.
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It’s because it’s not an arctic front anymore, otherwise it would’ve nailed it.
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The ground is warm? We’re actually making some real frost depth up here right now with the lack of snow cover and cold temps. Ground temps aren’t going to limit anything.
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I just bake them into the forecast. It is pretty routine to see models overamplify in the short term (days 2 or 3) and then in the last 24 hours just slide a little or flatten out. So then I am left sitting at the WFO with the snow totals...
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Scooter might let his kids out of the basement, it's starting to converge on a nice forcing signal around his backyard.
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In theory you don't have to have a meteorology degree, but there is a list of required coursework that more or less means you would have received a BS in meteorology or atmospheric science.
