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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. So statistical tie with 2016, 2019, and 2020 for the hottest ever?
  2. Congrats to the chicken coop! Actually goes to show how difficult it can be to draw up polygons sometimes. Based on new cells popping up and the line starting to drag on the south end, Brian (or nearby) ends up in 5 or 6 warnings but doesn't see much to write home about.
  3. We're all working on it, but technically we're not supposed to can it without approval from SPC.
  4. Glad I didn't fall for the wishcast enhanced today.
  5. It's one of the primary parameters that can differentiate between nada and a significant event. I thought we'd do better where we had > 7 C/km.
  6. Amazing consistency of peak gusts across our ASOS/AWOSs. Everything between 28 and 35 knots.
  7. Not entirely shocked about Maine, but NH surprises me a bit. Goes to show you how fine a line it is between destablization and run of the mill boomers.
  8. The wind seems to largely be a dud so far, or at least pretty isolated.
  9. I'm very interested in the cells from Saratoga to Rutland. Especially the one near Rutland. Great shape to it and the ZDR/KDP separation angle is nearly perpendicular.
  10. Really interesting VAD wind hodograph from ENX. That sickle look in the lowest km is well known for tornadoes (indicates a sharp turning of winds in the low levels). Now this is using SCH as an approximation for surface winds, so caveats there. But if this is something close to reality a few TORs issued today seems reasonable.
  11. I think if forecast low level winds weren't quite as parallel to the boundary they would be considering it. Going to need some of these sections of the line to really bow out to have a QLCS tornado threat.
  12. Subtle, but quite a few METARs are showing backing winds ahead of the front. Hudson Valley looks pretty primed at the moment.
  13. Jumped on the wine wagon before I headed to Italy.
  14. Straining to hear thunder over the hum of the AC units.
  15. Could be a lot of reasons for this. Small sample size altering perception, more rigorous surveying, etc. As you say, I do think a lot of the rest of it can be explained by higher dewpoints and/or nocturnal temps.
  16. Especially SNE it looks like the cold front undercuts the convection. Gradually it seems the HRRR wants to keep shear/cold pool balanced up across NNE, and actually a little nastier across ME than previous forecasts. Still a little skeptical because of the clouds.
  17. We talked it over with SPC this morning and agreed that holding off on enhanced is the best decision right now. There are a lot of ingredients in place for damage™ but there is also a lot of low cloud cover and it's late in the season to mix that out quickly. RAP soundings have things mixing out by 15-16z which gives us another chance to take a look before the 1630z update.
  18. Bunch of PWSs reporting in that range. There was some narrow training convection earlier this afternoon that did it.
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