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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Never mind, got it on their last one.
  2. OceanStWx
    Almost there. Next ob would do it. They lost their wx sensor but I'm pretty sure it's snow causing the 1/4SM.
  3. OceanStWx
    Also fooking wild out there. That drive to work was whiteout at times. Easily as impressive as 2013 on the vis/wind front. But hell if I know how much snow I have. I ran around the house with a ruler and average 4.8" at 2 pm.
  4. OceanStWx
    I see PWM just did it. Currently 1/8SM +SN and gust to 51 knots. Did a quick check and we also got RKD and PSM. SFM lost winds but likely did it. And LEW is 20 minutes or so away from doing it.
  5. OceanStWx
    I know that guy
  6. OceanStWx
    Damn that’s the one thing I had done that he couldn’t…
  7. OceanStWx
    Isn’t that additional? It’s only starting from 7 am this morning.
  8. OceanStWx
    Most of my forecast updates last night revolved around trying to sharpen the gradient between the coast and interior. I had a hard time seeing the banding getting west of 495.
  9. OceanStWx
    Talk about a CJ
  10. OceanStWx
    While mid levels don't really get going until around 09z tonight, I think we should keep an eye on the banding in the Mid Atlantic right now. It appears to be mainly driven by 700 mb fronotgenesis, or at least matches best with those forecasts. One thing models agree on is that if you draw a line down the axis of the band it does not get any farther west all the way up through New England. The NAM is probably the closest to getting it done.
  11. OceanStWx
    Yeah I'm more of the mind that you take the low number on the BOX ranges and that's a good expectation right now.
  12. OceanStWx
    Of course the BOX snowfall forecast is the upside potential, so I don't really see that changing any for the who are starting to dream. Or at least it shouldn't.
  13. OceanStWx
    Saw it on Twitter. Beers are mostly frowned upon at work.
  14. OceanStWx
    Despite what the surface reflections/QPF show, the 700 mb lows are all between the canal (NAM) and elbow (RGEM). That's not bad.
  15. OceanStWx
    The stamp on the bottom was golden.
  16. OceanStWx
    My guy feeling is that some of these wonky convective fox hunts are going to lead to smaller coverage of some major totals. I wouldn't feel great with widespread 20+ right now in my forecast, but Fish did a good job of highlighting two areas that at this time look most likely to do it with 12-18" everywhere else east of ORH.
  17. OceanStWx
    Actually buoy 41002 has a 1002 mb pressure, so it's probable that the initialization of the SPC is splitting the difference between the RAP background and the actual ob.
  18. OceanStWx
    Complete and total endorsement
  19. OceanStWx
    Nah. BOX should be 5 ppd if they have 25:1 in their grids right now. I would entertain 20:1, but only once I have complete confidence based on mesoanalysis where that band is setting up.
  20. OceanStWx
    It's hard to look at this and hate what it shows for east of a BDL/ORH/GYX line.
  21. OceanStWx
    Good think Kevin and I have matching hair styles.
  22. OceanStWx
    Probably not moving much if at all. I like where our forecast is right now.
  23. OceanStWx
    Again couldn't really draw up a better 700 look. From SE CT right through the ME coast.
  24. OceanStWx
    We both are. He's got the day shift and I come in as shit hits the fan.
  25. OceanStWx
    Yep. That was the season I started to address our false alarm problem at GYX. I think we were like 40% that season despite how great it was for snow.
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