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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. GFS is probably the fastest at 9 PM for getting sub-freezing, and NAMs/HRRR/RAP are all closer to 11 PM/midnight.
  2. It's for the combo. Basically frozen precip adding up to 1 inch of QPF.
  3. NAM had it nearly to the hour. GFS probably had QPF in there too early, but had snow forecast a couple hours ago.
  4. I could see the last place to warm being the hills in between the valley and the pseudo-backdoor front/barrier jet.
  5. What a classic. Barely kisses freezing aloft by -10C just off the deck.
  6. The blizzard left some weird snow cover around town. My yard had big near bare spots and once temps warmed up those melted out quick and infected the rest of the pack around my place. I lost half my depth yesterday with a T of liquid.
  7. Yeah I'm going to be tossing the model that is dumping 15+ for my backyard still. I definitely could see this just being more of a mess vs rain, but I think I'm selling the totals south of our transition zone.
  8. NAM to GFS is probably the goalposts right now. GFS 06z Fri, NAM 10z Fri. GFS seems a little too cool aloft overall, there always tends to be a sneaky warmer layer in there more akin to the NAM.
  9. Grab your phone, close the shades, turn the lights down...
  10. EPS Vertical Profiles So many new freebies from ECMWF. Ensemble definitely has the warm nose between 700 and 800 mb.
  11. Man, you really maximized this one. You could see the upslope returns all day up there. Some good old Dendrite mid level magic QPF for you.
  12. If it were NNE winds I would think some kind of ORH Hills upslope convergence, but with due NW that doesn't make any sense. So the mid levels are driving it.
  13. My parents in Barrington said over 2 feet, so their report checks out. I can't think of many bigger for my old backyard. 2005, 1996...
  14. Mid levels looked so good for SE MA. I think the biggest issue the convection played was not throwing enough moisture west for the western folks. But the forcing on that main band just overwhelmed any issues there.
  15. For all the crying about modeling, they had that more or less pegged for the last 12-24 hours.
  16. Not really. For me if I'm seeing a PK WND or G better than 30 kt in each ob it's frequent enough for me. He's off to LSX, so don't have that problem anymore.
  17. Just heavy breathing on the other end of the line.
  18. AWOS just hit their third hour of blizzard conditions. Congrats.
  19. I look for 4 reports of blizzard conditions that span 3 hours. Like 4 top of the hour METARs is 3 hours worth of weather. I just missed one in my count.
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