The blizzard left some weird snow cover around town. My yard had big near bare spots and once temps warmed up those melted out quick and infected the rest of the pack around my place. I lost half my depth yesterday with a T of liquid.
Yeah I'm going to be tossing the model that is dumping 15+ for my backyard still.
I definitely could see this just being more of a mess vs rain, but I think I'm selling the totals south of our transition zone.
NAM to GFS is probably the goalposts right now. GFS 06z Fri, NAM 10z Fri. GFS seems a little too cool aloft overall, there always tends to be a sneaky warmer layer in there more akin to the NAM.
If it were NNE winds I would think some kind of ORH Hills upslope convergence, but with due NW that doesn't make any sense. So the mid levels are driving it.
Mid levels looked so good for SE MA. I think the biggest issue the convection played was not throwing enough moisture west for the western folks. But the forcing on that main band just overwhelmed any issues there.
Not really. For me if I'm seeing a PK WND or G better than 30 kt in each ob it's frequent enough for me.
He's off to LSX, so don't have that problem anymore.
I look for 4 reports of blizzard conditions that span 3 hours. Like 4 top of the hour METARs is 3 hours worth of weather. I just missed one in my count.