OceanStWx

Gonna depend how it organizes itself, but it should be a fairly uniform event with a fairly narrow range.

You could pull this

Winter is going great up here.

It wouldn't be terrible if the lift was just a bit stronger. Maybe if the departing cold dome is just a little steeper something can organize into a more intense band. I'm kind of liking the purely WAA driven event up here. Everywhere I look I'm getting snow totals between 1.5 and 3 inches.

My forecast yesterday: BML -24 HIE -23 LEB -11 LCI -7 CON -10 EEN -10 I'll take that, LEB really the only whiff. Also MWN with a dewpoint of -62 currently.

I only care about my backyard. CT will torch. Models are trying to bring you into the low 40s too, and I'm just not sure that happens.

High is in a pretty shitty position to lock in cold, BUT... a cold enough air mass can be awfully stubborn to move out.

There's a little convergent area there between coastal north winds and more northwesterly inland.

I believe they trialed them in the Upper Midwest the last couple of years, but yes it is nationwide this season. It makes sense, we warned people if the wind chill hit -30 but not if the temperature fell to -30. Cold is cold. So this new product is for either wind chill or ambient temps.

I believe it was our first. We'll issue them anytime the temperature is expected to feel like -25 or colder, with or without wind.

Nearly identical after midnight, but I had 3.1" before midnight. That did put me over 10" for the month (exactly 12.0") though.

I was between the two myself.

Misery mist tickling the nape of your neck.

February 2015

Deep winter. Like Januarys of yore.

3!

I have used ShotScope the last few years. I don't play as much as I used to, but I like it because it gives me data I can use beyond distances to front, middle, center, hazards, etc. You can use it to track your yardages. It comes with screw caps you can put into grip of your clubs and they register your swing and tag the start and end of a shot that way. They are unique, so it knows when you had a 6i vs a PW. It can get a little wonky for a chip that doesn't involve a lot of arm/hand motion, but at worst it's a good quick judge of yardage to your target if you didn't want to know your club carries.

Meh, if we're going to be precise it's still Gulf of Mexico air if it comes from south of that line. Sad.

I'm going on almost two weeks of snow on the ground. Deep, deep winter.

300 km and 191 km The point they were trying to make with the training is that a model can only resolve something about 5 times larger than it's grid spacing (because you need to capture the max and min of the wave, plus the beginning, end, and middle of the wave). So that 160 km "upgraded" MRF/AVN could resolve a feature as large as around 800 km. In case we all wondered by it sucked at CAD.

I know @ORH_wxman and I were joking about our early days learning to forecast in Ithaca and the models we were using... But I am transposing my notes from our recent NWS-wide ensemble fluency training and they displayed a graphic showing how models have advanced since the 1960s. Now I knew it was a big deal when the Eta went down below 25 km (roughly the same as the current GEFS), but it sends a shock through me when I see the MRF/AVN sitting there at 160 km.

Good thing it's still ORH season.

Had 1.7" when I left for work at 7, but the best snow of the day has been falling since then.

There was no "we" involved. We have complained about the size of the domain for the local scale. Unless the takeover of CAR has begun...