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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Really spinning like a top in the mid levels. There's enough juice below 10 kft that we could get a hose to the surface.
  2. OceanStWx
    There's a little BWER on that UCONN cell. I would pull the trigger I think.
  3. OceanStWx
    STP is near 1, so I could see pulling the trigger once rotational velocity is over 25 kt. Right now it's about 23.5 kt near Manchester. Pretty classic TOR problem of sidelobe contamination though.
  4. OceanStWx
    Pics or it didn't happen. (You're not wrong though)
  5. OceanStWx
    Skinny CAPE, no girth.
  6. OceanStWx
    The only fruit I got came from the flower buds that were there when the were delivered. Even on a "dry" day like today, it looks like my house will get clipped by this rogue isolated shower.
  7. OceanStWx
    The Patriots are large and delicious. We have two plus two Northland. The strawberries have suffered this year though. Too much rain, and not enough sun to get them going.
  8. OceanStWx
    I think it's a nice ballpark to watch a game. Solid beer selection too.
  9. OceanStWx
    Maybe another TDS by Maynard
  10. OceanStWx
    Nice MCD with a 60% chance of a tornado watch for parts of the area. It's been a solid 2-3 years for most people since the last one.
  11. OceanStWx
    Maybe a TDS near Shirley, MA? Sure looks right at 1057z.
  12. OceanStWx
    I'll say without any knowledge of the air mass, the radar velocity sure looks like a tropical cyclone feeder band.
  13. OceanStWx
    Kudos to the BOX techs who got the call around 2 AM that the radar went down, and currently have it back up and running.
  14. OceanStWx
    Nah, I just hit send before I saw we were splitting it out. I wanted to make sure it was included here too.
  15. OceanStWx
    Just added this thought in the other thread before this was created.
  16. OceanStWx
    Big difference between last week and this upcoming event. Last week had low level winds intersecting the boundary, creating a more widespread rainfall pattern. Tomorrow the low level winds parallel the boundary, which will be a recipe for narrow but potentially significant rainfall distribution.
  17. OceanStWx
    Some models are quicker than others, but essentially the back edge of that forcing is forecast to only reach BDL by 12z. So there's a lot of potential time for storms to back build.
  18. OceanStWx
    There's a PWS right near that that did like 6 inches in 4 hours. That's pretty close to a 1000 yr return period.
  19. OceanStWx
  20. OceanStWx
    That's actually showing the progression of the forecast for today's threat. From slight to moderate.
  21. OceanStWx
  22. OceanStWx
    Data on that only goes back to 2019, but just the one high risk for New England. Until tomorrow.
  23. OceanStWx
  24. OceanStWx
    Your wagon has tipped over while fording the river. You lose 500 bullets, and 200 pounds of food.
  25. OceanStWx
    I think BOX might be running hot there, but GYX is way too low too. ENX is probably a decent compromise around 4.5 to 5 inches so far. Nice 500 year event.
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