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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. Clouds stole my aurora, and now clouds are stealing my severe.
  2. Local area fogged in just in time for things to go to town. That was agonizing to watch knowing how good the display was. I literally could see the glow driving in my car as I passed breaks in the trees on the way to the GYX area. Arrived only to find stratus and fog streaming in off the water.
  3. Got my first reds in November I guess it was 2013 here at the office. It was pretty cool to be able to see that with the naked eye. Ekster says this event Tuesday probably would've looked better in photos, but was more brief.
  4. Since moving to work at GYX, I've seen them at the office at least a half dozen times in 5 years. And that's just at the whim of when I was on the schedule in the evenings. I actually was able to see this past one with the naked eye in Portland.
  5. 2.5 km CMC is a bit further west, and close to the Euro. It's looking more and more like the deformation is favored just inland from the coast.
  6. But yes, I am. I'm liking where I sit for the model consensus now.
  7. Crush job at 18z. Full on blizzard conditions given the 900 mb wind speeds too.
  8. I will say that NWP is pretty terrible at choosing surface low locations. I would focus more on upper level features (which admittedly is more difficult since we have so much real time MSLP data).
  9. Curious to see what HPC does with the next update. Probably need to start thinking about sharpening the western edge.
  10. I think that's the way you have to play it right now. It is the Euro, which gives you some pause, but if this was any other model that far west and juiced it would be tossed.
  11. These hi-res models are in good shape based on radar right now. They take that banding and wash it out over NYC, while the meat and potatoes focuses from central LI on north and east.
  12. 00z 4 km NAM is similar, shade west of the RGEM. Really happy to be an eastern WFO for this one.
  13. RGEM not favoring western areas from this point forward. I will say judging by radar it looks too far east, but probably not the scenario NYC wanted to see.
  14. Bufkit soundings across SNE do have a little potential for TSSN tonight.
  15. That's one thing helping our case for blizzards. It's going to be a dry snow that should blow pretty easily, plus the depth of the cold air will allow for pretty efficient mixing compared to our usual inverted soundings.
  16. I've seen breakers sending spray over roof tops and jumping the sea wall there, with storms that passed well out to sea. This is going to be pretty epic. I'm willing to bet a few homes pay the ultimate price on the shore.
  17. Wave guidance is forecasting 29 feet in the bay. And it usually is underdone.
  18. Sea spray finding it's way four lots back from the beach at Scituate?
  19. Insider trading. Now conceivably they could hit their blizzard warning still with 6-10", but I think the media would have a field day if that's all that fell.
  20. Playing with fire down at OKX. Either high fives all around, or some explaining to do.
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