OceanStWx

850 mb low from BTV at 12z to strung out from NYC to PWM.

I'm fairly new to snow blowers, but this is the one I got https://www.homedepot.com/p/Ariens-Classic-24-in-2-Stage-Electric-Start-Gas-Snow-Blower-920025/301858403 So far it's had no problem with the 1-3" refreshers.

Allison's ridiculously cool save one on one with Aguero is something that definitely wasn't happening in the last several seasons. Also the Van Dijk song fans are singing now is already one of my favorites.

I enjoyed the match from a footballing perspective, but would've enjoyed it more if that Stone's clearance off Ederson's hands rolled another 1.12 cm farther into the net...

That is true. It's also a bit counter-intuitive when considering that in a snow-some melt-snow scenario you only report the maximum depth of new snow. Not the totals of each snow event during the day. That's interesting that they are offering that guideline in training. All guidance, including coops, is for one 24 hour clear. In reality you could measure as many times as you want during the event (without clearing), but can only report the maximum depth of new snowfall. So even if you measured every hour, by leaving the snow on the board there is settling and melting/sublimation going on.

I've never really bought that one, probably a drifted report. But that pocket surely had 36-42".

Lucky the AWIPS archive goes back that far.

Looks like 0.27" from about 230z to 5z, .08" the rest of the day, but there were two pretty spaced out 0.01"s late on the 17th.

Bingo. Antifreeze in the winter, nada in the summer. As precip accumulates in the bucket the frequency changes on the weighing gauge and records the increase.

I do not.

Can confirm it's coming in to us just fine... https://hads.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/hads/interactiveDisplays/displayMetaData.pl?table=dcp&nwsli=SLSN3 But that should be public and has the data. Something up with MADIS/MesoWest.

When did you notice it? Shutdown related? If it did break, it may be resource scarcity because they don't exist anymore and parts are hard to come by.

That's an easier answer than the other, 7-7.

No, in terms of winter weather it's fairly useless. I mean you can maybe gauge how much fuel use based on temps, but for snowfall there is nothing to go on from NCEP.

Last year? They did have above normal for all of New England, greatest chances towards CAR. CAR was +4.2, CON +0.4, and ORH -1.2 so I wouldn't call that a wild bust. Precip was above normal for all except The County in ME. That was a little more scattershot, with ORH up, CON down, and CAR up. It also depends on lead time, those were the 1 month lead forecasts. But even the longer lead times (3 month) ended up verifying as slightly above normal for spring. Regardless, they don't forecast snow and even inferring snow from the combination of temps and precip can be dangerous. But we know that was well above normal for the end of winter.

My son thinks winter runs from Halloween to Thanksgiving.

Yeah, I mean reality is that we do the bulk of the accumulation between 12/15 and 3/15. And on the NCEP side of things, all they do is forecast temps and precip for the season. So you can easily have temps average above normal, yet your above normal snowfall works out as well.

I’ve only had Patina so far, need to get out and try the rest.

Speaking of no shows and Tolland, @Damage In Tolland ghosted me in Portland on his little brewery tour. I guess I’m not one of the Rev’s flock.

Southern fringes of the CAD will definitely have to deal with boundary layer issues. Even though it will be cool, the temps > 32 will be too deep around places like BVY for snow. But we're only talking by 1000 ft or so. Wouldn't take a model error of too much to flip that to an hour of heavy snow. The forecast soundings do have quite a bit of lift in the DGZ right at onset, so I wouldn't be surprised by a few locations pounding a quick inch or two before the party is over. But like you say, I like the trends for ME. If warming hits a wall like the last event, we could see a nice overperformer.

Actually bumped the snowfall up a bit based on forecast soundings. I feel pretty good about surface temps staying cooler than guidance. If that's the case and models warm aloft like forecast soundings suggest, there will be more snow than our previous forecast.

I'm pretty sure g-g-g-grandpa Trefry was lost in the Gale of 1846 though. So he probably had some thoughts about a changing sky.

Oh FFS, the HRRR's website is shut down too. That has all sorts of goodies I can't get in AWIPS (like VIS and CIG). I can deal with the janitorial service not showing up for a week or the 1 ply toilet paper, but stop stealing my model data!

I was thinking it was a giant red flag that the cloud deck was square in the middle of the DGZ, any lift should've produced some snow. Given the terrain I had likely PoP north of the notches, but modeling was poor to say the least.

Me -> day shift.