OceanStWx

A nice KU to drag everyone to above normal snowfall for the year and really drive the weenies nuts.

Is the coop strapped down?

You could also measure from the edge of the branch to the ice on both sides, add together and divide by two, but that's harder to get as accurate when the branch is encased in ice.

Easiest way to do radial is measure the total thickness from end of ice to end of ice and subtract out the thickness of the branch, then divide by two.

Those results are fairly similar for different heights and different lead times too.

And by all objective measures the EC is curb stomping the GFS this winter. When the GFS wins a period it barely edges out the Euro, but when it fails boy does it fail. Look at the dropout around the 1/20 sleet bomb.

Shocked but then again not shocked we jumped so quickly to warnings in a storm with a lot of red flags. We keep ignoring Bruce Willis waving us off. Gorgeous cotton balls right now, but the kind that tell you the warm layer is creeping ever closer.

I think we're getting some low level stuff off the water too. We had 5" in the grids for you. I think I chopped that back to 3" just now, and that might be generous.

I mean the P&C is garbage in these events anyway, but I know exactly how something like this happens. It's right at the transition between the short term forecast and the long term forecaster. The short term guy goes heavy on the detail and includes all pytpes, then magically at 00z Mon (Sunday night) the long term guy switches to less detail and just rain and/or snow showers as the only ptypes. So with temps near 34 (the default cutoff between all liquid and rain and snow) you went from ptypes transitioning to snow as the mid levels cool in the afternoon to a "warmer" looking ptype as surface temps continue to creep up.

https://mars.nasa.gov/insight/weather/ Still not as impressive as Maple Hollow.

Only 34 more runs to go!

I think you're relatively safe in this next one. Biggest thing is the window for lift is so short that I don't think you have time to warm up aloft before it comes to an end. Worst case you hear a few pings before it ends. You're in a solid advisory-level snowfall now.

In August? It was from the SW (235) at 264 mb.

Pretty sure that's the strongest PWM/GYX balloon wind. There are some higher in the record, but clearly looks like bad data (245 kt in August 1990 ).

Congrats GYX, 214 kt observed wind on the sounding tonight. Other area soundings, CHH 208, OKX 187, and ALB 211 kt.

Happened in 2005... I had just moved in for my semester there and we had severe storm on O'ahu. Less than two weeks later James began writing chapter 1 of his novel.

Stop stealing clown snow.

I mean that's my primary method to accumulate in Bufkit, no reason it couldn't be done on a map level with some interpolation between grid points.

I mean there could definitely be an observer bias. A WWTP for instance is unlikely to have the same observer measuring every event (so some storms may be rounded to the nearest half inch vs others to the tenth). But given that it's also on Deer Island wind and warmth are going to affect measurements.

I mean you can see the ratio in the text products of the GFS and NAM, in theory it shouldn't be that hard (says the non-programmer).

The good news is it's only 5.5 miles from the Common, but 15 miles from the harbor buoy. So it could be worse.

Best bet is to check Iowa State and change the WFO and date, then search for PNS. The only issue with that is there is no guarantee that a spotter reported during a storm from Bellingham or Foxboro. Franklin will always have the coop data though.

In the northern parts of the forecast area we were hitting 70 over 10" of snow.

52.9" My new location in town has gained me a little over 4" from the ASOS (which is actually measured in another part of town anyway).