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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. Yeah that's just generated off the most recent reports (PNS), nothing more nothing less. As more reports come in that map will fill out some, and at the end of the event we do remove any obs that appear to be strong outliers.
  2. Not bad when the snow didn't start at BOS until 10 pm. Hard to complain when you nearly average 2"/hr for 8 hours.
  3. My guess is the HRRR timing was a little off and the goods just happened. Those cold cloud tops coincided with the Chelsea report of 3-4"/hr.
  4. Man those cloud tops near BOS cooled quickly.
  5. Yeah, that mix line isn't getting any farther NW now. Racing to the canal.
  6. It's a bit of a proxy, but you can see how averaging f-gen over more depth doesn't really change the location of the most intense frontal creation. So the lift is a lot more "upright" than a typically sloping ascent of WAA.
  7. Similar process to February 2013 over LI and CT I suspect.
  8. You're really close to the mixing, so there's probably a ton of liquid water in there to rime onto the flakes. Nice to see a CCB again.
  9. I mean based on the site info at NCEI, it's measured at the treatment plant. Technically, that is on the beach in Winthrop though.
  10. That's one thing that was well modeled leading up to the event. The output and probabilities for 1 and 2 inches per hour kept increasing right through 00z last night.
  11. And collapsing from the W across LI. Foster-Gloucester wins again.
  12. IJD just ripped off 0.08" liquid in 25 minutes. That's some heavy snow.
  13. Right in that 0 to -1 wet bulb is prime.
  14. I would lean towards power related, but I'm just saying it's not impossible. And the thunder is not a given, because snow and distance will muffle the sound.
  15. Well think of it this way, you are lifting cooler/moist air in the exit region. Sounds a lot like your cold conveyor right? So it's not a bad thing. KUs are KUs because you couple the indirect circulation of the sub-tropical jet with the direct circulation of the polar jet.
  16. There are some IC flashes about 100 miles S of LI right now. It's possible that's close enough to illuminate the clouds over RI too.
  17. Right entrance is a direct circulation (i.e. warm air rising on the Equatorward side, cold air sinking on the polar side), so think WAA thump style.
  18. Watch the echoes down over NJ. See the speed and direction they are taking (right at the heart of SNE). 700 mb front is probably not moving much, but 850 will tick NW some as the low approaches. But that precip over NJ will be slamming into a wall. That's the 40-50kt flags Will was pointing out yesterday.
  19. I'm definitely in support of this dual banded structure we're seeing right now. The western band is pretty well aligned with 700 mb f-gen at the moment. The NAM isn't too far off that representation. The actual radar echoes are NW of that f-gen, so if you continue that trend into the NAM forecast for 09z SE NH and coastal western ME will do just fine.
  20. I mean I don't see a satellite based reason to toss the GFS yet. If I'm going to nitpick, it's probably a hair slow with the Dakotas kicker (which obviously could have large downstream impacts). That leading area of vorticity in the Carolinas that models have is interesting. Looping the regional radar and there is clearly a spin to the precip, so it's not some phony convectively created feature.
  21. 52.9" My new location in town has gained me a little over 4" from the ASOS (which is actually measured in another part of town anyway).
  22. The home course advantage sure helps, but I have been able to shoot in the 70s away from Spring Meadows, and I'm particularly proud of a 39 on the front 9 at Belgrade Lakes. It physically pained me to walk away from that one after 9, but it was my wife's bridal shower and we couldn't be late. My favorite round was a quick 9 holes I played after a mid at Spring Meadows. Shot a 36 (+1) with two birdies, and only 10 putts.
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