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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. I'm guessing that real mild spell a couple weeks back really helped the early bloomers.
  2. Drop it under 2 m too so you can grab the near surface moisture.
  3. Kevin just started tossing and turning in bed.
  4. Back the car right up to The Alchemist and dump the money out.
  5. Now there is a good reason to delay the model. Failed clown maps not so much.
  6. Another 1.5" overnight brings us up to 67.4" for the season.
  7. Solid B-, just above average. Maybe a B with a little extra credit.
  8. Me with the choice to extend winter.
  9. It's like one hour, but forecast soundings show lift and DGZ perfectly overlapped. That's enough to ruin your day on the roads.
  10. Surprise to whom? It's a pretty decent looking shortwave.
  11. It sort of just crept up on us. All of a sudden Sebago was frozen solid and the snow banks were getting tall. It's a noticeable jump in conditions just an hour north in WVL. The banks were really high there earlier this week. These SWFE type winters do wonders for building fairly bulletproof pack. Like 2007-2008. There is so much water in it that it's tough to melt.
  12. Honestly though, you can easily see how in the 1800s people just walked off into snowbanks and weren't found until spring thaw.
  13. This is a pretty extreme example, but this general evolution of a blizzard out there isn't uncommon. They're also certain to just lose a few cattle, like literally can't find them or they can't find their way home.
  14. Yeah, that's definitely not the norm out there. I'm not sure I saw any in eastern IA, but once the corn grows in the summer you can't see very far off the highways anyway.
  15. Wheat? Soy and corn. But they're not lined up the best for this event (I'd say 40-45kt). CO/KS/NE are going to get the best gusts.
  16. Now that's how you dynamically lift a layer. (KBFF)
  17. Great-great grandpa Nogueira put granpda Nogueira to bed without dinner that night.
  18. Answer: it depends. Think which model (GFS and NAM) would handle the situation better.
  19. FV3 will be running in parallel (indefinitely) to the GFS, but that transition is TBD. Don't expect to see it before April anyway. Time to start locking the RGEM again.
  20. Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center.
  21. I'm ready to work freshet of yore into my AFDs. But that event specifically still has some scars in the White Mountains (Tripyramids specifically).
  22. That study has plenty of problems with it (owing mostly to how people measure snow) but I think the general trends are correct. 6:1 is way more common around these parts than 16:1.
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