OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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Just to fire Ginx up before bed, on WV imagery you can see gravity waves from that WI convection down to the Ohio River.
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Meh, Shoals did 77 mph just a couple weeks ago.
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Nice continuous lightning visible. But they were far enough north to miss the wind. I'm thinking like Spirit to Deerbrook got wrecked.
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I'm just spitballing here, but I'm curious if there is enough tree damage up in the north woods of WI that the GOES veggie band may be able to detect a scar tomorrow. The satellite is so new I'm not exactly sure what we'll be able to see.
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Beyond some reality checks, I'm not sure the models bake in any climo. But they also don't quite resolve the surface that well, so they have their own set of problem when it comes to 2 m temps.
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SPC WCM tweeted that 90 knots has been used 5 times ever.
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Oops, I missed all the derecho discussion in here.
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That being said, wind gusts near 100 mph from farther north in that line are not out of the question.
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Toss far, and toss wide. They forgot the KT in the COR and it whacked out automated reporting online. It's likely still a PK WND of 47KT.
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MOS bends towards climo the farther in the future one goes. So the MAV/MET should be reasonably good in the near term. But like all guidance forecasting extremes is hard because extremes by definition don't happen frequently. Actually Euro ensemble MOS got worse headed into today, whereas 5 days ago was showing BOS around 92-94.
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I think our MMTS runs a little cold, but it's also in a cooler part of the property with a lot of tree blockage.
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Still in the 70s on the hill, but dew just hit 67.
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I have the obs plot up for DVN all the time, and their current CWA is LOL. Every site at or above 108 HI. MXO is now 93/84 for a refreshing 121. The livestock show must be fantastic right now.
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Maybe to keep the new transformer running we had to move it so we could plug it in by the gate, right on the Tarmac.
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We have regularly scheduled maintenance in the NWS (depending on service level of the airport it could be as often as every 6 months). So it would be something you do every couple of years or something like that, not necessarily when you think there is a problem.
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So that VP2 could be 2C off and reading 23C for a dew, and 73F sounds about right on line with ASOS readings.
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AWOS is a FAA maintained piece of equipment, and typically they are only concerned with instrumentation that is affecting flight ops. So dews not real high on the priority list.
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ASOS are maintained by the NWS to an accuracy standard of about 1C for normal range in temperatures/dewpoints (don't let Scott see regarding BOS). Davis standards are 2C, and that's assuming someone is regularly calibrating their sensor. So that's generally why a personal station or AWOS can slip into bias territory.
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That 80 dew near the NW tip of IL is DBQ. That's an ASOS and as accurate as we're going to get on dews. Impressive. Also it's the start of the Great Jones County Fair (currently 91/82 at MXO). Ice cold domestics flowing like the Maquoketa River.
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Swan dive off the suspension bridge.
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ASH has seemed a little too much Tolland lately, but overall 72/73 is starting to get real good for these parts.
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What's the evaporative property of chicken poop?
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Looks like the NCA used the 1901 to 2013 period and based changes off a 1901-1979 baseline. But statistically significant areas are definitely Great Lakes, Northeast, Upper Midwest, and Ohio Valley.
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Most ASOS/AWOS are in the 60s. 70s just starting to creep into southern NH now.
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Widespread Severe Wx Saturday, July 20, 2019 across NNE
OceanStWx replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
CAMs are pretty meh overall, but I'm a little curious what this anomalous jet streak might do.
