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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    For much of our northern CWA this is a pretty classic snow or sleet sounding. It's still fairly dry in the low levels so wet bulbs support snow, but the actual temp is still warm enough to melt hydrometeors and the aforementioned low level dry air evaporatively cools that to sleet.
  2. OceanStWx
    Just plugging back in after an delayed Christmas at home, but boy that's some deep cold air through 850 mb on the higher res guidance. Screams sleet. I actually think we're probably a little overblown on our snow forecast at the moment. Gets awfully warm at 700 mb, and you know there will be some sneaky warm layers in between.
  3. OceanStWx
    Honestly churns my stomach a little bit (your son getting hurt, not the erasure of snowpack!). I know my little boy is going to get hurt, but it doesn't stop my from wincing every time he takes a tumble. Glad he's rebounded today though.
  4. OceanStWx
    I think the remote sensing is based on LE, so the higher the water content the more pack it will think is there.
  5. OceanStWx
    The most.
  6. OceanStWx
    I think it's a combo actually (coop, survey, airborne, and modeled).
  7. OceanStWx
    Miller A, always slips east in the end. NEXT.
  8. OceanStWx
    I mean I know it goes without saying but that evolution of a full phase with a remnant PV streamer over the Southeast will 100% not have even a vestige of a storm then 6 hours from now. The epitome of threading the needle.
  9. OceanStWx
    New year, new model. Who doesn't love a little cyclonic wave breaking.
  10. OceanStWx
    I know I have an expiration date given the shift work. If they aren't going to promote me to primarily day shifts I can't be doing this still when I'm approaching 70. It's hard enough now with a toddler and family obligations.
  11. OceanStWx
    Who knows what I would be doing if there wasn't the internet and The Weather Channel actually 24/7 weather back then.
  12. OceanStWx
    I'll be right around that myself. 37 years 2 months would take me to my 62nd birthday. Part of me loves the idea of being able to say 40 years service, but then again...
  13. OceanStWx
    Weenies grew three sizes as they read his AFDs. I'll be completely honest that reading his AFDs in high school and thinking "WTF does that mean?" was a big motivation to go to school for meteorology. 26 more years for full benefits...
  14. OceanStWx
    Naked mud angels in LEW tonight.
  15. OceanStWx
    Looks like moose urine. And honestly I don't think we can rule that out.
  16. OceanStWx
    I love this description: MALCONTENT West Coast-style Double IPA for those with bitterness in their hearts.
  17. OceanStWx
    Even later than that actually, it was the 24.12z GFS that roared west. WPC (nee HPC) tossed that idea in favor of continuity of forecast because it mishandled heights, vorticity, and RH in the Dakotas.
  18. OceanStWx
    The cancellation begins Christmas, it will be complete by New Year's Day.
  19. OceanStWx
    I opted for no clear beers. Hazy for me. Grabbed Flume^2 from Battery Steele, Weary World Rejoices from Bissell, and Tessellation from Lone Pine. The stockings will be hung by the chimney with care, while lies passed out in his chair...
  20. OceanStWx
    I didn't measure and I really don't have to, the last couple of days vaporized my meager pack and I can see the lawn again out front and thin cover out back.
  21. OceanStWx
    The official gov't sanctioned () white Christmas is indeed 1" snow depth at 12z 12/25.
  22. OceanStWx
    Yes, Ts are still reported. But it is fairly subjective and local to their siting area.
  23. OceanStWx
    Shitter's actually full at GYX (plumbers needed to snake the drain this afternoon).
  24. OceanStWx
    Hermit Lake is not a true coop in that we only get obs when the MWAC is active. So we do miss snow reports in the shoulder seasons sometimes, but they reported between 191 and 205" in the last couple of seasons. I believe they were trying to install some snotel equipment though, which will be great for mapping snowfall in the Whites. Jay Peak did have 346" in 2000-2001. That season MWN "only" had 297"
  25. OceanStWx
    I obviously can't say much about the coop reporting itself, but I have no reason to seriously doubt it. But if that assumption's true MWN is probably closer to 350+" on average but loses a great deal to estimation/blow off. It actually works nicely if you use the near 200" average at Hermit Lake (only 3 season's worth of data) or Pinkham Notch's 147" average.
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