OceanStWx

They've got as many playoff wins in the last 5 years as Vrabel has illegitimate children.

It is 4/20

We were just hanging out in the neighborhood commenting on how nice it was when I realized we were actually -5 on the high.

I'm generally a fan, but it's going to take some education. The TLDR is that SPC now has a way to highlight low coverage but high potential intensity events. I think about 6/1/11. Back then there was only a slight risk, but you could make an argument that coverage was reasonable for a slight only not enhanced. You can now add CIG zones to highlight significant tornado risk even in a 2% or 5%. That just wasn't possible before without a 10% hatched. There was complaining about the miss in MI on day 1. But there was literally no way in the old outlook system to put a significant tornado risk there without upgrading the entire outlook.

Weather weenies trying to reassure me that 37.9" is actually too big, and PWM's 31.9" is perfect.

Seriously, this was a little more akin to some of our extreme rainfall events lately. PVD took their 24 hour snowfall record and nearly doubled it. Like 2"/hr for 18 hours.

Scrawled across the desk journal of Ekster’s great great great great grandfather: “The snow, mark my words, doth ever arrive sooner than one might reckon, and the sleet likewise.”

I admittedly did not participate in the office run up to the storm, but from conversation I can say our post mortem caution flags should’ve been the dry air eating the northern edge versus the pretty simulated reflectivity and QPF maps presented, and falling for the NBM snow ratio trap. That second one shifted the heavy snow at least a row of counties north.

I'm not usually a pack retention kind of guy, but it's been impressive this season. I've had 6 days since 12/3 with a T or less on the ground. And I've been over 10 inches on the ground since 1/26. Chuck in a normal March snowfall and I'll be at the best snow season since 2018-2019.

Nah, it's under the "Lower Dynamics" section of most models (including the Euro!) but the FGEN is the last variable listed. Temp advection comes first so it's easy to miss. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=temp_adv_fgen_700&runtime=2025112912&fh=84

Can't tell whether Cantore had pants on or not because snow was over thy knickers.

Easy to spot the drift measurements in a storm like this up here.

Thank you for your service though, that 0.2" helps to define the edges of our snowfall map.

Part of me kind of misses the days of broad ranges with highlighted zones for "locally higher amounts" The problem these days is that you can try and forecast the band from PVD-GHG on this run. But then the next run it's ORH-BOS, so you increase the snow there. But you don't want to drop it from PVD-GHG just in case that was actually right. So the snow amounts are forever only going up until it's too late to recover from the messenger shuffle.

I wouldn't be surprised if post analysis counts it for Storm Data anyway. Some of it is a bit subjective, but if DAW, PSM, and PWM all hit blizzard up here how could I say coastal York wasn't also a blizzard.