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Everything posted by weathertree4u
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February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
18" snow in south Louisiana is odd? -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I apologize - upon further review - I see how my post was not contributing to the overall knowledge base of the discussion so I removed them - though, seriously, fruit is going to start developing if we do not get some cold! -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
One thing I can say for sure is that this Winter has had lots to track, not necessarily with storms but with overall model changes. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Could that translate to cold here? -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
That is a good way of expressing the difference between the GFS and the EURO! -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
So that is good right? -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know it is a little drier here north of Nashville but yea, we could use several weeks without any precip - chances are if it doesnt get it done the next few weeks - as far as snow is concerned - just gets very hard with increasing sun angle as we move into March to get it done; the system depicted on the morning run of the GFS this morning, if just a few hundred miles northwest, we give us all a pretty good snow, it is those chances, those tracking opportunities over the next couple weeks, that will make this interesting in my opinion. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Guess analysis depends on ones outlook on things. I choose to be more optimistic about our chances going into the next couple of weeks. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My apologies, I referenced the every model run because that was what was posted, the current post that I am replying too is referencing trends. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I would go crazier than I already am if I lived and died by every model run, again trends; personally, I have no expectation that we score 6 weeks of cold and snow - we live in the South after all - however, I am more hopeful than most years that we can score a storm or two in the next two weeks and change. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think we should be looking, not to say that you are not, at the trends that are being portrayed with modeling, for example, what we know seemingly for sure is that it will get colder around the 5th; the pattern is just simply too complex I think at this time to expect modeling to all be on the same page, just my opinion. -
February/March 2020 Winter's Last Chance Thread
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Is that -45 just above the Great Lakes? -
December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think we are seeing some good trends!- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Interesting- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
@carversgap i appreciate you translating the model and posting being sincere i really do!- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
@Hilton01not going stop posting for sure! Thank you for the kind words- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Last post I am doing on this subject. I wasnt saying I found fault with what you or Jax had posted; I was saying that realistically, for me, with my experience looking at things, I was confused. Will go back to reading and not posting lest we get into another back and forth. Goodness.- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
With all due respect, my posts are not intended to be negative, I am being realistic. I am sure that I could search the threads in this discussion or others and find some that would tend to portray others as negative, besides, we are getting off topic.- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just posting thoughts, apologize that they are not as robust as others.- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
If we don't get help somewhere this pattern we are in is fixing to suck IMHO.When the jet retracts back into East Asia this is going to build back the ridge into East Asia and keep troughs from going through,so our active pattern won't be so active,Basically it would look just like the GEFS is showing in the long range- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Indeed because seems to be in contrast to what other people are posting.- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Latest run of the GFS looks good but I am suspect of its ability to accurately forecast anything past a few days - I know it is to be expected with such wild pattern swings, etc.- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Oh, give it a day, evryone will be singing the modeling praises, then the next scratching their head in confusion, pretty standard winter for TN- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
So, it is at least possible to see some of that cold in the PV make it south towards us?- 1,666 replies
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December/January 2019/20 Winter Speculation Thread
weathertree4u replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That is true - according to the EURO looks like the PV is displaced headed towards the continental US - in reality, I will never be satisfied with the Winter season living in the South, I recognize that!- 1,666 replies