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weathertree4u

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  1. weathertree4u
    Just throwing this out there. I am sure that there is actually a climatolgist someplace that has actually crunched the data on this theory but will be interesting to see if the same pattern repeats as we go forward. The data referred to was pulled from https://w2.weather.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=ohx I came up with an interesting theory last night concerning the weather. Many of us have wondered what happened to Winter for the second Winter in a row. Well, looks like it has to do with where we are in the solar cycle. Consider the following graph that starts with solar cycle 17/18, the minimum was mid 1940's every winter season except 1948/1949 had at least either January or February with double-digit snowfall, including the infamous winter of 1950/1951; if you look at the next minimum, the mid 1950's, every winter season after that had double digit snowfall in at least one of either January or February, sometimes both, including the record of most snowfall in a season occurring 1959/1960 when Nashville logged snowfall January/February/March for a total of 38.5"; if you look at the next minimum that was in the mid 1970's, this was followed by the harsh winters of the late 1970's; my point is that there seemed to be a lag of about a year - which means next year could be a bust also - but that for about five years after the minimum, harsh eastern winters seasons followed. The question is, is the lag time increased because the minimum is projected to take longer to reach? If you look at the second graph you can recall the snowier winters we had in 2010/2011 2011/2012, right after the solar minimum of cycle 23; just my thoughts, will be interesting to see if the prior pattern holds and what the next four or five winter seasons hold for the East.
  2. weathertree4u
    Oh ok, that makes sense; there are several trees swelling here; just noticed some Red Maples this afternoon as well as several Saucer Magnolias that are likely going to bloom much too early
  3. weathertree4u
    What is that?
  4. weathertree4u
    Yea, evidently pretty tight gradient between whole bunch of snow and nothing
  5. weathertree4u
    https://www.weather.gov/ohx/18860202?fbclid=IwAR1FjT4OzFK41Oi4MuDxWvuz4Bkqp36ClCh251t2mHUC9WcO5gnv5M4ftaQ This would be an awesome storm to have in the modern era! @jaxjagman @John1122 @Holston_River_Rambler @carversgap
  6. weathertree4u
    Paint me surprised lol
  7. weathertree4u
    Figured as much, why would this year be any different? The NAO will suddenly go negative in the Spring
  8. weathertree4u
    Mid 60's for an extended period of time in mid February - just so amazing - residents of the TN Valley will be sorely surprised when the larger scale pattern eventually flips; if we were to have a winter season like we had in my child hood -1970's-1980's - people would not know what to do not to mention if we had one similar to the 1960's where almost every season in that decade had at least one big storm and several seasons had seasonal totals well over 12" - just amazing! Anyone have any idea when we break from this multi-year crap pattern?
  9. weathertree4u
    Mid 60's for an extended period of time in mid February - just so amazing - residents of the TN Valley will be sorely surprised when the larger scale pattern eventually flips; if we were to have a winter season like we had in my child hood -1970's-1980's - people would not know what to do not to mention if we had one similar to the 1960's where almost every season in that decade had at least one big storm and several seasons had seasonal totals well over 12" - just amazing! Anyone have any idea when we break out of this multi-year crap pattern?
  10. weathertree4u
    Mid 60's for an extended period of time in mid February - just so amazing - residents of the TN Valley will be sorely surprised when the larger scale pattern eventually flips; if we were to have a winter season like we had in my child hood -1970's-1980's - people would not know what to do not to mention if we had one similar to the 1960's where almost every season in that decade had at least one big storm and several seasons had seasonal totals well over 12" - just amazing!
  11. weathertree4u
    Just amazing rainfall and warmth being projected by the latest run of the GFS, just unbelievable; things will be literally leafed out by the end of February, just amazing.
  12. weathertree4u
    here is to hoping it is on more than one model run, looks nice though
  13. weathertree4u
    Interesting - which of the two models has done better with this, not only in this season but in the past?
  14. weathertree4u
    I hope all of those are rhetorical questions you are posing because at this point I do not know of very many that can or have been able to figure this pattern out with any certainty much less where we are headed; based upon the way the models have done recently, I would say it is another head fake as much as I want to believe the opposite!
  15. weathertree4u
    Portland Tennessee? I believe it!
  16. weathertree4u
    Yea, allot of dates after 2000
  17. weathertree4u
    Here is the link...
  18. weathertree4u
    Could be
  19. weathertree4u
    Just seems like we are heading back into a wet pattern
  20. weathertree4u
    Lol at this entire winter, not you personally
  21. weathertree4u
    Nashville is now in fourth place for greatest number of days without at least a trace snow, seven hundred fifty days I think
  22. weathertree4u
    Persistence usually wins no pun intended
  23. weathertree4u
    Yea that is opposite day from prior run
  24. weathertree4u
    I just have bad memories from February of 1994. You can still see on some trees where they were snapped about ten feet now
  25. weathertree4u
    Long as we don't get bunch ice I am good
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