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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. weathertree4u
    I guess if this pattern continues will be harder and harder to bad mouth the Winter this year.
  2. weathertree4u
    I am liking our chances over the next few weeks; hopefully you guys in the Eastern Valley can score with the system this week, I think it will be primarily south of my area this time around but the latest GFS spits out a decent chance next week for the Middle TN area
  3. weathertree4u
    Not much north I40
  4. weathertree4u
    The latest GFS run shows an almost perfect storm near the end of the run - just great to see it at least modeled - just need it to come a little further north and it be just a touch colder - with that being in early March, that says something - hopefully it says we get snow lol
  5. weathertree4u
    I would put my money on a bunch of cold/rainy cutoffs. As I said previously, persistence has won the modeling battle this year, we have been here before, always looks good in the long range but when we get to the long range it turns out to be the same as the current time frame and I think others have eluded to this, even though most of us want at least one good system, we recognize the struggle that modeling has gone through this year. I mean, again, as previously mentioned by others, the current cold shot for mid month, the one we have now, originally started out as a pattern flip, then down to a week or so, then in reality, it is about 48 hours of cold. So, while I like the look and though this post does not necessarily indicate it, I am hopeful we can pull out one good system but I recognize we are now working against climatology every day we move closer to meteorological Spring.
  6. weathertree4u
    Mid Sumner County here, I agree, north please
  7. weathertree4u
    This may be a Birmingham to Atlanta system
  8. weathertree4u
    Meaning...
  9. weathertree4u
    I would suspect that once we get past the system today modeling will come into better agreement, hopefully.
  10. weathertree4u
    Still like the time period around the 20th; I think we have some chances going forward and it may be like last week where the system really only comes into focus 48 - 72 hours before the event.
  11. weathertree4u
    Persistence has won so far this season, hopefully will get few dry days but I would be willing bet the larger pattern will return as has so far
  12. weathertree4u
    Nope; at least not for another few weeks, has to wait until end of the month so that it can cause the maximum inconvenience by making March colder than normal, not cold enough for snow but just cold enough to really be a pain in A--
  13. weathertree4u
    Wonder how many forum members remember the winter of 1994? Stands out in my mind as the ice storm of record in my memory. Grandparents were without power well over two weeks in the Portland TN area - in some instances, not only did trees come down on lines but CEMC also had to reset poles and restring new line. https://www.tennessean.com/picture-gallery/news/local/2015/02/16/nashville-then-ice-storm-of-1994/23505561/
  14. weathertree4u
    At this point and I think allot of forum members would agree, having a good snow would be great but man do we need a break from this rain!
  15. weathertree4u
    Yea, got a little Thursday late night and Friday early morning. Been looking through some old pix and the last really good Winter I had north of Nashville were the two back-to-back Winters of 2009/2010 and 2010/2011 where we had several good snows; not saying that havent really had anything since then but those two years there was something almost every week. Keeping with that same theme, seems like about every ten years we have a really good Winter, previous to the two years mentioned, the Winter of 2002/2003 was really good. All of those instances were coming out of a solar min. Wonder if going forward for a couple of years we can at least expect a break in this pattern since we are slowing climbing out of a solar min....
  16. weathertree4u
    @jaxjagmanat least next winter may be different
  17. weathertree4u
    Is going into the WH and COD conducive to winter weather here?
  18. weathertree4u
    Just amazing. I think you @jaxjagmanhad posted last week sometime about the extremes in the weather and to think that possibly at some point in the Summer this tap will shut off in a big way and we could go from extremely wet to extremely dry, which, could bode badly for the fire season fall 2020
  19. weathertree4u
    Lol, you are being punked
  20. weathertree4u
    So, what you are saying is the cluster continues
  21. weathertree4u
    Possible impact end February?
  22. weathertree4u
    Join the club! The Nashville snowdome has been in place for years now
  23. weathertree4u
    The latest run of the GFS does not disappoint in providing yet a different solution in the long range. I need to move to Minneapolis so that I can be assured of getting my snow fix every year.
  24. weathertree4u
    Like your post not because I like it but because you are spot on! Everywhere else modeling seems to know well in advance at least the generalities of what is going to fall from the sky and will depict the same thing in multiple consecutive runs. In the TN Valley, forget it.
  25. weathertree4u
    So looks like the latest run of the GFS is not nearly as torchy, especially in the long range
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