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Everything posted by MGorse
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Very eerie looking outside with a yellowish glow.
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2023 Precipitation Departures from normal (in inches) through 5/27: Allentown, PA (ABE): -2.37 Reading, PA (RDG): -3.99 Mount Pocono, PA (MPO): -1.48 Philadelphia, PA (PHL): -4.10 Trenton, NJ (TTN): -3.71 Atlantic City, NJ (ACY): -1.68 Atlantic City Marina, NJ (55N): -3.53 Wilmington, DE (ILG): -5.21 Georgetown, DE (GED): 2.06
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Many trees down in my town (Delran, NJ). The roar was quite evident before the massive wind hit.
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The 2 feet of snow mention was from much earlier today.
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Not sure and since I did not compose that AFD, I don't want to speculate.
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Oh I did not realize we had 2 feet mentioned in our AFD. Just went back and saw that. Hmmm
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Farther down in the Winter Storm Warning it states... * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain or a mix of rain and snow will change to snow by later this evening. Some heavier snow is possible late tonight and Tuesday morning. The greatest snow totals will be in the higher elevations mainly above 1000 feet.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread
MGorse replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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I wrote an article about a snowstorm, a wave, and a picture
MGorse replied to ChasingFlakes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Great photo and nice write-up. Congrats! -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
MGorse replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Buffalo airport picked up 5 inches in an hour. KBUF 200354Z 24008KT 3/4SM -SN BR VV005 M04/M06 A2988 RMK AO2 PK WND 26027/0301 SLP131 SNINCR 5/26 P0013 T10441056 RVRNO $ -
Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21
MGorse replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Epic lake effect snow event! -
This was the third tornado this year. The first one was in Bucks County at the end of March, second one was in Monmouth County in May. The new tornado ally continues.
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March 12, 2022 Snow Discussion and Obs: Winter's Last Appearance?
MGorse replied to Newman's topic in Philadelphia Region
That looks to be just about over NWS Mount Holly, so I will let you know. -
March 12, 2022 Snow Discussion and Obs: Winter's Last Appearance?
MGorse replied to Newman's topic in Philadelphia Region
That is a Weather Channel naming thing. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Just curious. Thanks. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
That wording sounds like a Winter Storm or Ice Storm Warning should be issued for at least parts of that region. Maybe that is what they are implying? -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
You can tell them it is actually an upgrade. Look at the coding (UPG)… NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-242200- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0005.220225T0000Z-220225T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0012.220225T0000Z-220225T1800Z/ Warren-Morris-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton- Including the cities of Washington, Morristown, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton 338 AM EST Thu Feb 24 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Zones overall match the county borders. There are some exceptions like Bucks, Montgomery and Chester counties which were split years ago to better define the more urban from the higher elevation areas. Splitting of counties/zones is a long process. Emergency Managers do no set the criteria. They review what is planned to be in place basically to provide feedback. The criteria is based in part on climatology. PennDOT is usually not involved because the criteria is not strictly for what accumulates on roads. That is very difficult to predict. Some adjustments for as least some areas to the warning/advisory criteria were made over the years. There is some wiggle room when it comes to winter storm warnings as combined impacts can be taken into account despite the individual snow and ice amounts being below warning criteria. Lastly, I had no hand in expanding the winter storm watch this afternoon. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Great observation! Dew points will be first to really drop with the frontal passage. Main cold air push is during tonight. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yeah those are different and based on known impacts tied to a river gage level. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yup especially with watches, warnings and advisories. Appreciate it! -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Perhaps but a challenge given the recent warmth. I could see more sleet occurring over snow. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Thank you for the kind words and understanding. -
Feb 24-25th Event -- Generators for some, pre-emerg for others
MGorse replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
The warning and advisory criteria is by zones not mountain ranges and such. The criteria is also run by each county Emergency Manager. We try to factor in many things when deciding where to issue a watch. We did not purposely leave out Lehigh County, but focused where the higher snow/sleet is forecast plus where the higher confidence was. We have to start somewhere. Look for additional forecast updates later this afternoon and again tonight. We try our best and we are certainly not perfect!- 263 replies
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