WNC_Fort

LOL. An Apps cutter on the Euro. I’m so over this winter

lol. I swear if this run is too warm. We went from record cold for the 1/6 storm to warm/wet. Might as well do the same for this one

Where’s my daily dose of @Met1985optimism?

It really is starting to feel like if you live below 3000 ft, south of VA, and east of the Apps something has changed with the climate to where snow and ice are too difficult to get the combination of ingredients together. We should have paid more attention to the ice storm drought. Was probably our first sign of problems.

I was just coming to ask where the cold air has gone? We went from historic/pipe bursting, to long-sustained cold to… marginal at best?

Welp. Euro sucked. WNC foothills snow drought ending looks less and less likely.

I think I need to take a weather break. Too disheartening to watch models. Hope someone here can help us reverse trends and pull one in. I’ll be back to this forum someday but, it’s just not something that brings me joy right now.

What you’re seeing on the models is exactly why ive remained skeptical/nervous for this period. I think it’s guaranteed that highest elevations score but us foothill folks could be looking at a scenario where if we miss on the 6th, the other storms skirt us to the south and we end up with the coastal plain getting snow and us left blanked.

Much improved 18z run. Let’s keep the positive momentum during 0z.

Yea, the last few years, we’ve had multiple storms show initially as favorable for the Carolina’s just to hit Texas, Arkansas, Tennessee, etc. i personally can’t have hope on any storm until we’re within 48 hours. The last 3 years have been that miserable. Also, some aren’t understanding the point we’ve been making about temps moderating. YES, it will still be cold. But not record breaking like the models were showing just 2 days ago. Sure, let’s be hopeful AND realistic. And it’s easier for some to be hopeful who have gotten at least a trace the last few years compared to us who haven’t seen it without traveling to it.

Yep. That’s the problem. Ensemble means are decreasing and February is guaranteed to be awful for snow chances. So we have this 2 week window upcoming to score or winter is over again.

Folks on the other forum are already dooming. It’s what happens when everyone’s snow starved. But, I also just haven’t been convinced by the upcoming pattern.

Merry Christmas to my snow optimistic and pessimistic friends alike! Glad to share the passion of weather and this forum with you all.

Yep. I don’t get the excitement. More of the same from last year. Folks get excited by the cold air but no moisture. Don’t worry though, it’ll swing back through after the cold air leaves.

Was just checking the High Country cams (Boone, Blowing Rock, Banner Elk). Looks like a bit of an underperforming event. Dustings but dont see much more than that.

It's funny how everyone always falls back into the same camps. Folks in the highest elevations get at least some snow every year, so they're a bit more optimistic. Foothill folks are now in a longer snow drought than the piedmont and are antsy/pessimistic...realists? Everyone south of NC just praying for a snowflake but resigned to the fact that we just don't win anymore. Last year, we had @wncsnowalways getting downvoted for providing a realist view of how things are shaking out. Rinse and repeat.

You know what would add insult to injury for us foothill folks? Watching the coastal plain or piedmont score while we scrape out a few flakes

I guess cold is better than nothing but another dud of a December for us here in the foothills.

It's the only thing you can count on here in McDowell.

Absolutely nothing down here in Old Fort either. Heck, I saw stars most of the night. Hardly even clouded up. I see nothing to get my hopes up about in the long-term either.

Sigh. I'll probably wake up in the morning with another event that blanks Old Fort but manages to top the cars in the mountains and east of me. It's been so long for us eastern escarpment/foothill folks.

You know it's a potent NWFS event when I have snow falling down in Old Fort sticking to the roof. And in November! I know I've been a pessimistic one the last few years but hey, I'll take any sign of cold-snow in the pre-Christmas time period. It's been far too long.

You should be good (depending on the route you take). Beech and Banner Elk have both been trying to advertise they're back open for sensible tourists.

Just checking in to see how the mountian crew is doing. I've got FEMA coming out to my place today. The last 3 weeks have really just been a blur.

I know it's been impossible for folks to get up on the Parkway. But, anyone seen anything on how some of the more well-known areas fared? Linn Cove Viaduct, Craggy Gardens, Mt. Mitchell, Mt. Pisgah, Graveyard Fields, etc?