WNC_Fort
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Everything posted by WNC_Fort
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It is funny how much a small tweak here or there can be the difference from big snowstorm or apocalyptic ice
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I did have a brief convo with a ATMS professor at UNCA about the warmer climate and how the Gulf being warmer than it was 30 years ago could be a big contributor to these small differences
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Little rant: We have a -NAO. Strong high pressure. Plenty of moisture for once. Plenty of cold air. And we can’t snow? It’s just so frustrating to see what could have/should have been.
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Maybe we can at least say a Winter Storm Watch and likelihood of a warning is an improvement over the last few years. Used to be a few advisories every year and 1 or 2 warning level events. But, it’s been so long.
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What will be the vibes for the group after this weekend? Ready for spring?
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Lol. A quick glance at the NAM and you’d wonder if any precip was even gonna fall here this weekend
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Jan 2022? That’s the last one for most of us. Guess a few of us have seen a flake or a dusting here or there. But I know it’s tough rn living in the upstate or lower elevations of wnc
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You as well. I guess the whole foothill crowd. The hype was so real Sunday-Tuesday. Everything was going right. Operational models. Ensembles. Slight fluctuations but it was locked in.
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Between you, me, and @wncsnow. I just don’t know how we can get or feel any lower.
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Do we know for certain when the hurricane hunter data is getting ingested into the modeling?
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Yea. There’s always a storm that somehow misses the upstate and wnc foothills. 4 years running.
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I’m legit gutted
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Someone should challenge him about this on the other forum that he posts on
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Yea, 50-75 mile shifts sure. But this is hundreds of miles. A couple days out. Atlanta is now gonna be in the 60s on Sunday?
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That’s what I don’t understand. This whole time everyone (and I mean trusted Mets on this forum and across the region) talked about the high pressure and the inability of a system to cut into it. What happened there?
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Just total capitulation. Southeast and especially NC Mets are going to get major heat from the public. I think there’s several of the trusted posters on both main weather forums that helped contribute to the level of confidence. This is an all time rug pull.
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I knew Met would reveal his hatred for us eventually!
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Guys if this doesn’t pan out. I’m going to have to take a long break.
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What’s your read on the drastic change? High pressure change? Just small tweaks little to big changes downstream?
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We can’t win for anything. A real roller-coaster between the GFS and Euro. But, my real question is what happened to the high pressure and the locked in cold air?
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But, I thought Webb and Dr. Wall said there’d be no way for a move north?
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Phew. Remember how we felt at Christmas? Last year when we whiffed? We’re on track to make up for it and then some…
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I’d also like to avoid power issues. We’ve still got time for things to ebb and flow. But, either way, I’m glad we’re close to ending our curse. Foothill crew, we’ve been on the wrong side for too many years. No matter what comes, glad I got to track it with yall. Let’s hope for a big snow and take what comes
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You can tell people are wound up. The GFS came south so some worried about suppression. Now the Euro is warmer so we’re worried about missing to the North (with more mixing). Gonna be a wild few days. What’s the timing looking like now anyway? Still Saturday-Sunday?
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Being in the foothills is so fun. I’ll literally take anything at this point. But, we’re so close to historic territory. We need the Baja low to beef up the precipitation but not too much interaction because it leads to mixed precipitation. But, if we tend weaker, we lose the precipitation and the cutoff becomes too close for comfort
