WNC_Fort
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Everything posted by WNC_Fort
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Light sleet falling here in Old Fort
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Opinions and takes are so varied this morning it’s hard to keep up. If this truly busts on the low side, I’ll be grateful. But the public reaction in NC/SC would not be good.
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33/13.5 here
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Alright foothill family. Not what we wanted to track but we’re here! Personally hoping for a sleet storm. Let’s see what happens.
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But of course its gonna bury DC and NYC
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Have a sleet map?
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GFS looked like mostly a sleet storm? With some ice and then heavy rain to finish? Low tracked much further south? Idk what’s gonna happen
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I’m not even sure we will all have power or internet to track another storm at this point.
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Well guys. We made it through Helene. This is starting to have similar vibes in terms of widespread/historic impacts. I’m still hoping it will pan out we get more sleet than freezing rain. But, if not, been a pleasure tracking with you guys. Hope there’s a solid plan in place to restore the grid/power. Just hard knowing that Raleigh/Charlotte will get a lot of the initial attention.
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Man. I really thought we were gonna get away with mostly sleet.
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I just did a big forest cleanup from Helene. I lost a ton of trees. Please let this be mostly sleet
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I think messaging from WLOS/WYFF could be stronger. Think most local emergency offices are putting out strong messages on social media. But, there’s information overload on FB. I think people see confusion and just take it as no one knows. I think messaging needs to be stronger on the power outage likelihood and the cold that follows
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I’ll say the attitude has changed here locally in the last 24 hours. Most people think it’s a “bust” and won’t do anything. It’s unfortunate the hype that happened early with the snow because people aren’t understanding the ice threat
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I honestly have no idea what’s gonna happen this weekend. Sleet storm? Devastating ice? Lulls in precipitation making it a minor event?
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18z Euro? More of the same?
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I was going to say. I might be crazy but if the weaker solution starts to win out.. I don’t think we’re far off from some folks getting back to a snowier solution. Still mostly a mixed bag… but
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I think it had been so long since our whole collective group had tracked a storm, we forgot the cardinal rules of tracking a storm in the south. Funny thing is it wasn’t just us. NWS, Local TV Mets, Weather Channel were all honking the horn on Monday. Heck the Weather Channel showed graphics all day Tuesday of 12-24” across NC.
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I know one thing for sure after this last week. Models can’t be trusted for anything other than a threat detection more than 3 days out. Heck, we’re under 3 days and it’s still a bit up in the air. Other lesson learned. Don’t listen to folks saying that there’s “no way that low can cut up through that strong high pressure”.
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Well. We’re missing this one to the north so can’t wait to miss the one next week to our south and east
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There’s barely any precip in the foothills through Sunday on the NAM
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It’s comical at this point the difference between the Euro and GFS. Our two leading models are hundreds of miles apart 3 days out?
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It is funny how much a small tweak here or there can be the difference from big snowstorm or apocalyptic ice
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I did have a brief convo with a ATMS professor at UNCA about the warmer climate and how the Gulf being warmer than it was 30 years ago could be a big contributor to these small differences
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Little rant: We have a -NAO. Strong high pressure. Plenty of moisture for once. Plenty of cold air. And we can’t snow? It’s just so frustrating to see what could have/should have been.
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Maybe we can at least say a Winter Storm Watch and likelihood of a warning is an improvement over the last few years. Used to be a few advisories every year and 1 or 2 warning level events. But, it’s been so long.
